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you can't take weekly data and extrapolate it over 10 months

Posted on: December 16, 2020 at 15:42:05 CT

tigerinhogtown STL

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M.O.B. Votes:

it's weekly data. you want 10 months data, use the same 10 month period for your base vs the target

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MESSAGE THREAD

CDC excessive deaths playing with numbers. - TigerMatt STL - 12/16 14:57:57

RE: CDC excessive deaths playing with numbers. - MOCO SON MU - 12/16 15:58:40

Which is why they're using statistics, not science, - glue MU - 12/16 16:34:33

They're not removing weeks from their calculations - paleojas MU - 12/16 15:19:05

but that isn't how they are selling it, they aren't calling - tigerinhogtown STL - 12/16 15:29:55

Another way to say "total deaths due to COVID" is - paleojas MU - 12/16 15:33:27

The time period isn't a week. - TigerMatt STL - 12/16 17:27:02

but they are totaling only certain weeks. - tigerinhogtown STL - 12/16 15:37:25

RE: but they are totaling only certain weeks. - paleojas MU - 12/16 15:39:28

You should keep getting fired up about it - Sal MU

- 12/16 16:03:50

you can't take weekly data and extrapolate it over 10 months - tigerinhogtown STL - 12/16 15:42:05

You really don't understand what you've been reading... - paleojas MU - 12/16 15:43:14

Or.. say I have a cell phone bill. 2019 it was $200/month - TigerMatt STL - 12/16 16:37:29

Here let me try to explain ii in terms of money. I set an - TigerMatt STL - 12/16 16:11:35

Relax, basic math is hard for some people (nm) - BigDave MU - 12/16 16:39:49

is it your claim that if they took the ave of total deaths - tigerinhogtown STL - 12/16 15:47:14

By treating those weeks as zero, they are statistically - Eggs MU - 12/16 15:24:28

Each of you is showing your ignorance of research design - paleojas MU - 12/16 15:27:00

Where do you think they get excessive death numbers from? - TigerMatt STL - 12/16 15:23:23

Yes you can.... - paleojas MU - 12/16 15:25:53

You explained it well here - Eggs MU - 12/16 15:32:25

This is literally what they say, though... - paleojas MU - 12/16 15:35:23

That is what TigerMatt is arguing (nm) - Sal MU

- 12/16 15:40:35

No it's not. - paleojas MU - 12/16 15:46:12

Yes, he specifically addressed the footnote - Sal MU

- 12/16 15:54:53

Yeah.. excess deaths gets to ignore any non zero numbers - TigerMatt STL - 12/16 16:00:08

In the footnotes - Eggs MU - 12/16 15:40:13

oy... - paleojas MU - 12/16 15:45:30

That would not give an accurate count - Sal MU

- 12/16 15:21:16

Yes it would. It would not give an accurate count of TOTAL - paleojas MU - 12/16 15:23:07

Excess deaths are directly tied to observed deaths. - TigerMatt STL - 12/16 15:34:12

Wrong again. - paleojas MU - 12/16 15:38:08

all those caps, you're really showing him (nm) - Sal MU

- 12/16 15:41:12

Why all the F bombs? You're obviously an educated dude - Eggs MU - 12/16 15:27:19

The f bombs are out of the frustration I see daily when - paleojas MU - 12/16 15:28:36

I understand your frustration. Believe me, I'm frustrated - Eggs MU - 12/16 15:30:02

now kiss(nm) - cnk ATL - 12/16 15:32:28

haha - paleojas MU - 12/16 15:33:50

with masks on, of course(nm) - cnk ATL - 12/16 15:34:26

Combination the CDC and others are feasting on - Eggs MU - 12/16 15:09:33

But the fact that so many people in power - smart people - tiger4real MU - 12/16 15:13:56

Elections are won by doing things for "the greater good" - Eggs MU - 12/16 15:20:26

Being overeducated does not make you smart(nm) - tcat KC - 12/16 15:17:34

No such thing as being overeducated nm - SparkyStalcup MU - 12/16 15:30:08

RE: But the fact that so many people in power - smart people - MUTGR MU - 12/16 15:16:02

I hate to agree in this case, but I think you’re right(nm) - tiger4real MU - 12/16 15:19:56