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Wrong. Even if we just look at that single game...

Posted on: November 13, 2024 at 15:28:13 CT
zounami MU
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Oregon won by *1* point, in Eugene.

Home-field advantage is generally considered to be ~3 points, and more precisely, Sagarin's model computer it to be 3.22 points based on data from this season.

So, to a computer, Ohio State was the better team since it was at a ~3-point disadvantage yet only lost by 1 point.

The computer also sees Oregon's close calls against Idaho (an FCS team) and Boise State (a Mountain West team).
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6-3 South Carolina is better than 10-0 Indiana, according to - zounami MU - 11/13 14:25:56
     Don't you love "uhhhhhs"? - Genco98 MU - 11/14 07:28:02
     Uh, no. (nm) - go tigers MU - 11/13 23:13:37
     DADGUM SAGARIN IS GOLL DURN KENPOM!!11 - Mothball MU - 11/13 22:44:49
     RE: 6-3 South Carolina is better than 10-0 Indiana, according to - KC rules MU - 11/13 17:33:21
          Agreed. (nm) - go tigers MU - 11/13 23:11:51
          For the same reason FSU was left out of last year's 4-team - zounami MU - 11/13 20:22:46
               RE: For the same reason FSU was left out of last year's 4-team - KC rules MU - 11/13 21:29:09
                    That's what happened with the 4-team playoff last year... - zounami MU - 11/13 22:22:23
     lets just all agree that this dead horse needs to continue - phrejd KC - 11/13 15:34:18
          Beat that mother****er! - ERB KC - 11/13 15:35:01
     IU is obviously a good story & I don’t - Gary P. MU - 11/13 15:12:00
     According to that, we've played the SEC's weakest schedule - Fourth and Long MU - 11/13 14:51:08
     They have them having a better chance of the CFP than us - MU-TULSA MU - 11/13 14:46:43
     Ummm ... Neither TV Execs nor the Bowl Committee - ERB KC - 11/13 14:43:17
          I don't get completely the fans of mid-tier type schools - Genco98 MU - 11/14 09:39:33
          Facts(nm) - Wildcat KSU - 11/13 15:39:07
          Well said(nm) - tigerman81 MU - 11/13 14:56:31
     The criteria is already set - tigerman81 MU - 11/13 14:37:21
     Sagarin is too heavily weighted on schedule and associated - Eggs MU - 11/13 14:32:21
          Sagarin has one of the better (or best) strength of - alwaysright MU - 11/14 05:34:47
          and Northern-Illinois beat Notre Dame in South Bend... - zounami MU - 11/13 14:35:33
               So why even play the games if results don't matter? - Eggs MU - 11/13 14:38:36
                    Results matter, but you're over-weighting a single game... - zounami MU - 11/13 14:52:23
                         There is no data that would support Ohio St over Oregon - SatoriTiger JC - 11/13 15:11:50
                              Wrong. Even if we just look at that single game... - zounami MU - 11/13 15:28:13
                                   Lol - SatoriTiger JC - 11/13 15:31:55
                         Computers do what they are programmed to do. They can - tigerman81 MU - 11/13 14:55:15
                              but they are consistent, objective, and far less biased than - zounami MU - 11/13 14:57:17
                                   I just told you a computer is just as biased as the person - tigerman81 MU - 11/13 15:04:09
                                        That's definitely false. A programmer/statistician does not - zounami MU - 11/13 15:21:45
                                             Clearly you don't understand how biases work. If - tigerman81 MU - 11/13 19:15:41
                                                  The feeling is mutual... - zounami MU - 11/13 20:09:16
                                                       It doesn't matter what you think. What matters is facts - tigerman81 MU - 11/14 00:48:23
                         Computer models are subject to the bias - meatiger MU - 11/13 14:53:41
                              I'm curious to eventually see AI do ratings and predictions - Eggs MU - 11/13 15:04:53
                                   agreed... that's the future (nm) - zounami MU - 11/13 15:23:03
                              "objective" does not mean there's no statistical bias... - zounami MU - 11/13 14:58:47
                                   Really? And who told the computer how to analyze - tigerman81 MU - 11/13 15:06:05
               Computers do not look at things objectively - meatiger MU - 11/13 14:37:14
                    explain... how are computer models *subjective* ? (nm) - zounami MU - 11/13 14:53:48
                         Because they require user input and weighting - Eggs MU - 11/13 14:59:42
                              but those weightings apply to all teams equally... - zounami MU - 11/13 15:19:07
     Good to know Sagarin is back in your good graces after - Lovely Rita UW - 11/13 14:31:33
          you're confused... - zounami MU - 11/13 14:47:03
          Most sites I am looking at have our schedule ranked 30 - Erwin Fletcher STL - 11/13 14:38:28
          Actual results are not weighted in their ratings enough - Eggs MU - 11/13 14:36:49
               those losses were just bad luck...Zou - meatiger MU - 11/13 14:37:52




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