Welcome Guest
Sign In | Register

That's not even close to analogous. That would have

Posted on: April 21, 2020 at 20:35:20 CT
TigerJackSwartz MU
Posts:
64113
Member For:
16.79 yrs
Level:
User
M.O.B. Votes:
0
to assume that it is 100% that I get the virus (and then have a 1 in 500 chance of dying), to be tantamount to the 1 in 500 chance when I'm in the plane.
Report Message

Please explain why this message is being reported.

REPLY

Handle:
Password:
Subject:

MESSAGE THREAD

If i told you that the plane you're about to board had a - *M* KC - 4/21 17:13:44
     You need a calculator(nm) - tman MU - 4/21 21:18:34
     no one in Missouri - cybertyger MU - 4/21 20:35:57
     That's not even close to analogous. That would have - TigerJackSwartz MU - 4/21 20:35:20
     Have you always been such a pathetic coward? - Emoji Man MSU - 4/21 19:53:02
     5,941 positive test in MO.. 8 deaths to people under 50... - shorty MU - 4/21 19:22:14
     And more Americans in that age group have died from the flu - DHighlander NWMSU - 4/21 18:26:47
          COVID-19 has not run its course. You can't compare a - TigerMatt STL - 4/21 19:50:05
               How does that alter anything? The current projections - DHighlander NWMSU - 4/21 20:48:14
     shut it doosher. not even close. apples and oranges (nm) - TigerFan92 MU - 4/21 18:21:55
     I’m not that young but not worried in the least(nm) - tigerNkc MU - 4/21 18:14:15
     Your premise is messed up - BigDave MU - 4/21 18:13:16
     But if you had a 1 in 10 chance of going to the hospital - Role Call MU - 4/21 18:11:25
     RE: If i told you that the plane you're about to board had a - Tigrrrr! MU - 4/21 18:06:57
     "Shhh." - Charles Darwin (nm) - noodle MU - 4/21 17:58:02
     That is a bogus stat - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/21 17:32:42
          wrong. That stat is of “diagnosed” cases. People who test - *M* KC - 4/21 17:34:29
               Is it utilizing the Stanford estimate of there being - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/21 17:39:23
                    So you will actually use "science" when it suits your - KC rules MU - 4/21 17:53:26
                         no he's using science. (nm) - dangertim MU - 4/21 18:37:09
                         As I have said again and again - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/21 18:19:50
                              As long as one attempts to understand and draws logical - KC rules MU - 4/21 19:31:07
                    that factor is irrelevant. It is only including - *M* KC - 4/21 17:42:38
                         Here's how you should have structured your analogy: - ummmm MU - 4/21 17:51:08
                              nope. The hypothetical says there is a 1 in 500 chance - *M* KC - 4/21 17:57:09
                                   But once I have the disease I have it. So what risk are you - ummmm MU - 4/21 18:01:08
                                        RE: But once I have the disease I have it. So what risk are you - *M* KC - 4/21 18:05:02
                                             If you're unwilling to consider the vast, vast majority of - ummmm MU - 4/21 18:07:00
                                             You should have just typed "I think others are cavalier - 90Tiger STL - 4/21 18:06:28
                                        I asked him to cop to his point and he rebuked me for the - 90Tiger STL - 4/21 18:04:15
                              Also, the analogy should have included the alternative - ummmm MU - 4/21 17:54:56
                         you're contorting real hard to find purchase for a leg - 90Tiger STL - 4/21 17:47:46
                         Yes - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/21 17:45:22
                              Several comments - *M* KC - 4/21 18:21:11
                                   A few comments back - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/21 18:32:11
                                        RE: A few comments back - *M* KC - 4/21 18:56:57
                                        remember the photos of packed airports in places like - 90Tiger STL - 4/21 18:35:35
                                             The issue here is both ends got silly - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/21 18:51:56
               Then that is a bad stat and it greatly overstates the true - ummmm MU - 4/21 17:36:27
          and he assumes the rates are similar everywhere. - 90Tiger STL - 4/21 17:34:29
     The idea you're missing is that high risk folks should - 90Tiger STL - 4/21 17:30:13
          RE: The idea you're missing is that - *M* KC - 4/21 17:31:44
               You didn’t point anything out - pickle MU - 4/21 17:42:04
               Is that my fault? If i don't know at this point what - 90Tiger STL - 4/21 17:33:19
                    I didnt say it shold. Again, as you do every day, you - *M* KC - 4/21 17:35:49
                         I didn't say you did. Quit jumping to conclusions and - 90Tiger STL - 4/21 17:38:36
     What disease? The flu? - jonesin - 4/21 17:28:38
          Sure flutard - mizzoumurfkc KC - 4/21 18:04:31
     lmfao (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 4/21 17:27:24
     Math is hard.......... - TGR84 MU - 4/21 17:23:18
          Math is easy. Typing on an ipad is hard(nm) - *M* KC - 4/21 17:26:41
               Hahahaha - TGR84 MU - 4/21 17:28:03
     the chance is 20-50 times lower than .02%(nm) - MizzouAstro MU - 4/21 17:21:13
          Actually 10 times higher, as ummmm so kindly pointed - *M* KC - 4/21 17:26:08
               no - MizzouAstro MU - 4/21 17:51:52
                    Same error as ummmm and 4tigs. Those people are exclude by - *M* KC - 4/21 18:00:10
                    50-85 - ummmm MU - 4/21 17:53:28
          And person-specific. Every person between 20-45 is - ummmm MU - 4/21 17:25:09
     .02% is 1 in 5,000. - ummmm MU - 4/21 17:19:20
          Ive now edited my typo. Thank you. And if you fly often - *M* KC - 4/21 17:29:19
               You didn't say fly often on that plane. You said get on it - ummmm MU - 4/21 17:31:52
                    i commend your foolhardiness. Id get out of line and - *M* KC - 4/21 17:33:03
                         lmao, what line is that? the line without people with yello - 90Tiger STL - 4/21 17:36:51
                         No, I think the other option is to wait in the terminal for - ummmm MU - 4/21 17:33:32
          Typo on my part. The odds in that age group are 1 in 500 - *M* KC - 4/21 17:25:23
               Those are not the odds for that group. We don't know - ummmm MU - 4/21 17:28:38
                    Those are the odds for that group of people diagnosed. - *M* KC - 4/21 17:30:42
                         The serology tests are showing that 50-85 times more COVID - ummmm MU - 4/21 17:32:59
                              Same error as 4tigs. My OP stat is of “diagnosed cases” - *M* KC - 4/21 17:37:31
                                   Then it is a bad stat for assessing true risk of dying. (nm) - ummmm MU - 4/21 17:41:01
                                   then what's the use or point of your OP? just a - 90Tiger STL - 4/21 17:40:16
                         the odds of what? (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 4/21 17:31:28
          dumb - TexJohnson MU - 4/21 17:23:07
               No. It's not. - ummmm MU - 4/21 17:26:34
     lmao (nm) - pickle MU - 4/21 17:15:05
          dumber - TexJohnson MU - 4/21 17:24:01
     lol you are an idiot (nm) - Sal MU - 4/21 17:14:14
          dumbest - TexJohnson MU - 4/21 17:25:01
               SuxJohnson is a silly homo. - Emoji Man MSU - 4/21 19:55:24




©2024 Fanboards L.L.C. — Our Privacy Policy   About Tigerboard