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But once I have the disease I have it. So what risk are you

Posted on: April 21, 2020 at 18:01:08 CT

ummmm MU

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asking me to contemplate with respect to the disease if I already have it in your hypothetical?

Isn't your hypothetical really about encouraging stay-at-home so you don't catch the virus?

Getting on the plane = going back to work. Right?

Edited by ummmm at 18:01:37 on 04/21/20

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MESSAGE THREAD

If i told you that the plane you're about to board had a - *M* KC - 4/21 17:13:44

You need a calculator(nm) - tman MU - 4/21 21:18:34

no one in Missouri - cybertyger MU - 4/21 20:35:57

That's not even close to analogous. That would have - TigerJackSwartz MU

- 4/21 20:35:20

Have you always been such a pathetic coward? - Emoji Man MSU - 4/21 19:53:02

5,941 positive test in MO.. 8 deaths to people under 50... - shorty MU

- 4/21 19:22:14

And more Americans in that age group have died from the flu - DHighlander NWMSU - 4/21 18:26:47

COVID-19 has not run its course. You can't compare a - TigerMatt STL - 4/21 19:50:05

How does that alter anything? The current projections - DHighlander NWMSU - 4/21 20:48:14

shut it doosher. not even close. apples and oranges (nm) - TigerFan92 MU - 4/21 18:21:55

I’m not that young but not worried in the least(nm) - tigerNkc MU

- 4/21 18:14:15

Your premise is messed up - BigDave MU - 4/21 18:13:16

But if you had a 1 in 10 chance of going to the hospital - Role Call MU - 4/21 18:11:25

RE: If i told you that the plane you're about to board had a - Tigrrrr! MU

- 4/21 18:06:57

"Shhh." - Charles Darwin (nm) - noodle MU - 4/21 17:58:02

That is a bogus stat - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/21 17:32:42

wrong. That stat is of “diagnosed” cases. People who test - *M* KC - 4/21 17:34:29

Is it utilizing the Stanford estimate of there being - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/21 17:39:23

So you will actually use "science" when it suits your - KC rules MU - 4/21 17:53:26

no he's using science. (nm) - dangertim MU

- 4/21 18:37:09

As I have said again and again - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/21 18:19:50

As long as one attempts to understand and draws logical - KC rules MU - 4/21 19:31:07

that factor is irrelevant. It is only including - *M* KC - 4/21 17:42:38

Here's how you should have structured your analogy: - ummmm MU - 4/21 17:51:08

nope. The hypothetical says there is a 1 in 500 chance - *M* KC - 4/21 17:57:09

But once I have the disease I have it. So what risk are you - ummmm MU - 4/21 18:01:08

RE: But once I have the disease I have it. So what risk are you - *M* KC - 4/21 18:05:02

If you're unwilling to consider the vast, vast majority of - ummmm MU - 4/21 18:07:00

You should have just typed "I think others are cavalier - 90Tiger STL - 4/21 18:06:28

I asked him to cop to his point and he rebuked me for the - 90Tiger STL - 4/21 18:04:15

Also, the analogy should have included the alternative - ummmm MU - 4/21 17:54:56

you're contorting real hard to find purchase for a leg - 90Tiger STL - 4/21 17:47:46

Yes - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/21 17:45:22

Several comments - *M* KC - 4/21 18:21:11

A few comments back - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/21 18:32:11

RE: A few comments back - *M* KC - 4/21 18:56:57

remember the photos of packed airports in places like - 90Tiger STL - 4/21 18:35:35

The issue here is both ends got silly - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/21 18:51:56

Then that is a bad stat and it greatly overstates the true - ummmm MU - 4/21 17:36:27

and he assumes the rates are similar everywhere. - 90Tiger STL - 4/21 17:34:29

The idea you're missing is that high risk folks should - 90Tiger STL - 4/21 17:30:13

RE: The idea you're missing is that - *M* KC - 4/21 17:31:44

You didn’t point anything out - pickle MU

- 4/21 17:42:04

Is that my fault? If i don't know at this point what - 90Tiger STL - 4/21 17:33:19

I didnt say it shold. Again, as you do every day, you - *M* KC - 4/21 17:35:49

I didn't say you did. Quit jumping to conclusions and - 90Tiger STL - 4/21 17:38:36

What disease? The flu? - jonesin - 4/21 17:28:38

Sure flutard - mizzoumurfkc KC - 4/21 18:04:31

lmfao (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 4/21 17:27:24

Math is hard.......... - TGR84 MU - 4/21 17:23:18

Math is easy. Typing on an ipad is hard(nm) - *M* KC - 4/21 17:26:41

Hahahaha - TGR84 MU - 4/21 17:28:03

the chance is 20-50 times lower than .02%(nm) - MizzouAstro MU

- 4/21 17:21:13

Actually 10 times higher, as ummmm so kindly pointed - *M* KC - 4/21 17:26:08

no - MizzouAstro MU

- 4/21 17:51:52

Same error as ummmm and 4tigs. Those people are exclude by - *M* KC - 4/21 18:00:10

50-85 - ummmm MU - 4/21 17:53:28

And person-specific. Every person between 20-45 is - ummmm MU - 4/21 17:25:09

.02% is 1 in 5,000. - ummmm MU - 4/21 17:19:20

Ive now edited my typo. Thank you. And if you fly often - *M* KC - 4/21 17:29:19

You didn't say fly often on that plane. You said get on it - ummmm MU - 4/21 17:31:52

i commend your foolhardiness. Id get out of line and - *M* KC - 4/21 17:33:03

lmao, what line is that? the line without people with yello - 90Tiger STL - 4/21 17:36:51

No, I think the other option is to wait in the terminal for - ummmm MU - 4/21 17:33:32

Typo on my part. The odds in that age group are 1 in 500 - *M* KC - 4/21 17:25:23

Those are not the odds for that group. We don't know - ummmm MU - 4/21 17:28:38

Those are the odds for that group of people diagnosed. - *M* KC - 4/21 17:30:42

The serology tests are showing that 50-85 times more COVID - ummmm MU - 4/21 17:32:59

Same error as 4tigs. My OP stat is of “diagnosed cases” - *M* KC - 4/21 17:37:31

Then it is a bad stat for assessing true risk of dying. (nm) - ummmm MU - 4/21 17:41:01

then what's the use or point of your OP? just a - 90Tiger STL - 4/21 17:40:16

the odds of what? (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 4/21 17:31:28

dumb - TexJohnson MU - 4/21 17:23:07

No. It's not. - ummmm MU - 4/21 17:26:34

lmao (nm) - pickle MU

- 4/21 17:15:05

dumber - TexJohnson MU - 4/21 17:24:01

lol you are an idiot (nm) - Sal MU

- 4/21 17:14:14

dumbest - TexJohnson MU - 4/21 17:25:01

SuxJohnson is a silly homo. - Emoji Man MSU - 4/21 19:55:24

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