everyone's favorite topic, revisiting APR

Posted on: April 11, 2017 at 09:24:08 CT

Just to demonstrate how little grasp journalists covering the team have of the topic when you take their statements that MU is still in good shape, lets analyze the article the Columbia Tribune put out today.

http://www.columbiatribune.com/sports/mu/mu-s-recruiting-is-group-effort/article_d4e5a0c0-8b08-56de-8775-28c30dc57f81.html

"Missouri’s APR has been dragged down by the 851 score posted in the 2013-14 academic year — Frank Haith’s final season. This is the last year that score will count on MU’s multiyear average."

Our current 4 year score is compiled from the following seasons:

2015 -- 976
2014 -- 851
2013 -- 960
2012 -- 978


This can be confirmed here:
https://web1.ncaa.org/maps/aprRelease.jsp

So next season the 978 score of 2012 will drop off, and we will replace it with a 2016 score. The 851 score of 2014 is no where close to ceasing to impact our multiyear avg as claimed.

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Martin said Missouri could withstand another transfer this year. “I think we can lose three points, if I’m not mistaken,” he said.

Again, the results and impacts of this offseason in terms of impact to the APR are far off. He is talking about our single year score in isolation, not in relation to its 4 year impact. Its 2016 that will next be impacting our score. In that period we lost the following:

Wes Clark – Buffalo, but too late to qualify for waiver
D’Angelo Allen - not enrolled anywhere
Martavian Payne - NAIA
Tremaine Isabell - Drexel
Namon Wright - Colorado
Jakeenan Gant - Louisiana Lafayette

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"Schools receive up to two points per player per semester — one for staying in school and one for staying eligible. A player who leaves and isn’t eligible counts zero points. A player who leaves with at least a 2.6 grade-point average scores one point."

Assuming 12 scholarship players, that equates to 48 possible points each season. Getting 45 out of 48 points results in a score of 937, but getting only 44 out of 48 would be a score of 916. Schools are required to keep their 4 year score above 930. Even assuming all 6 of the players listed above left with > 2.6 GPA (which reportedly is not the case) that would be 6 lost points from our 2016 score. Way too many to stay anywhere close to the acceptable mark, particularly with a 978 dropping off from 2012 from our 4 year avg.

Then on top of that in 2017 we have already lost 3 players to transfer and may potentially have more. It will be when we tabulate the season AFTER that in 2018 the 851 score will finally drop off: 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018. So we are actually 3 APR reporting years away from that, and most likely will be tabulating a 2016 score that is even worse than it anyway.

Edited by FIJItiger at 09:51:32 on 04/11/17