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I'm just presenting the results of the latest state polls...
Posted on: November 1, 2016 at 14:44:12 CT
JeffB MU
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If they change, or even if they are wrong I fail to see why I should be shamed.
Those results presented in table format and sorted by "% Hillary lean" show which state Trump is leading in per the polls and which Hillary is leading in & in which they are tied.
The 7th column shows the electoral votes Trump would have if he won the state in any particular row & all of the ones below it. The 8th column shows how many electoral votes Hillary would have if she won the state in that row and all of the states above it.
IF those polls are correct the key state would be Colorado which shows Hillary with a 1% lead. If Trump won Colorado & the states below it (which would be Iowa & Indiana where they are both tied) Trump would have 274 electoral votes & Hillary would have 264 giving Trump the victory.
All of the states below those would have a negative number in column 6 (% Hillary lean), meaning that Trump is favored by the % listed. Those would include the swing states where Trump is currently leading.
Those above Colorado include all of the swing states in which Hillary is leading but which Trump does not need to win.
The only swing state Trump needs to win that Hillary is currently winning per the latest poll is Colorado where she holds a 1% lead per that poll.
Those results presented in table format and sorted by "% Hillary lean" show which state Trump is leading in per the polls and which Hillary is leading in & in which they are tied.
The 7th column shows the electoral votes Trump would have if he won the state in any particular row & all of the ones below it. The 8th column shows how many electoral votes Hillary would have if she won the state in that row and all of the states above it.
IF those polls are correct the key state would be Colorado which shows Hillary with a 1% lead. If Trump won Colorado & the states below it (which would be Iowa & Indiana where they are both tied) Trump would have 274 electoral votes & Hillary would have 264 giving Trump the victory.
All of the states below those would have a negative number in column 6 (% Hillary lean), meaning that Trump is favored by the % listed. Those would include the swing states where Trump is currently leading.
Those above Colorado include all of the swing states in which Hillary is leading but which Trump does not need to win.
The only swing state Trump needs to win that Hillary is currently winning per the latest poll is Colorado where she holds a 1% lead per that poll.
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I'm just presenting the results of the latest state polls... - JeffB MU - 11/1 14:44:12