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The unusual circumstances of having one set of polls taken

Posted on: November 1, 2016 at 13:49:10 CT
JeffB MU
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before the FBI reopened an investigation vs polls taken after the announcement kind of throw a monkey wrench into historical comparisons, though, don't you think?

I think that is especially true given that the polls since the announcement have shown a significant shift in the polling numbers.
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The 3 close states Trump needs to win to win the election - JeffB MU - 11/1 12:40:25
     He absolutely needs PA to win. (nm) - MrBlueSky MU - 11/1 12:45:05
          I just presented you with a sorted table showing an easier - JeffB MU - 11/1 13:29:07
               You will be shamed election night - raskolnikov MU - 11/1 13:50:08
                    I'm just presenting the results of the latest state polls... - JeffB MU - 11/1 14:44:12
     Needs OH, PA, NC too C's lead in PA - insurmountable - raskolnikov MU - 11/1 12:43:13
          Not according to the most recent polls listed on 270towin.co - JeffB MU - 11/1 12:51:08
               RE: Not according to the most recent polls listed on 270towin.co - MrBlueSky MU - 11/1 12:52:08
                    I'm using the most recent polls. 538 is using older polls - JeffB MU - 11/1 13:32:07
                         Has not been that big a shift and it is still early to take - raskolnikov MU - 11/1 13:51:10
                         RE: I'm using the most recent polls. 538 is using older polls - mizzou alum 93 MU - 11/1 13:33:14
                              My point still stands regardless of 538's assertion that the - JeffB MU - 11/1 13:37:08
                                   You sure are a true believer - raskolnikov MU - 11/1 13:52:24
                                        You don't need anyone to tell you, just look at the polls co - JeffB MU - 11/1 16:15:54
                                   and 538 does weigh the new polls "heavier" for lack of a - mizzou alum 93 MU - 11/1 13:38:28
                                        So it boils down to whether you believe 538's algorithms - JeffB MU - 11/1 13:42:56
                                             well, they have been pretty accurate the last 3 elections - mizzou alum 93 MU - 11/1 13:44:40
                                                  The unusual circumstances of having one set of polls taken - JeffB MU - 11/1 13:49:10
     all 3 are easy Trump wins.(nm) - SuperTone MU - 11/1 12:41:06
          Iowa is but the other two are not easy. - MrBlueSky MU - 11/1 12:46:52
               he is up big in both.(nm) - SuperTone MU - 11/1 12:47:50
                    Uhhhh.. - MrBlueSky MU - 11/1 12:49:28
                         oops. meant to post here: - JeffB MU - 11/1 13:31:04
                              you are assuming the comey announcement is having - mizzou alum 93 MU - 11/1 13:32:31
                                   My reply from above: 'My point still stands regardless of - JeffB MU - 11/1 13:45:52
                         BUT, those Colorado & North Carolina polls end earlier than - JeffB MU - 11/1 13:01:36
                         check the skews and compare to gallup's running - SuperTone MU - 11/1 12:54:05
                              You can't just cherry pick favorable polls here and there - MrBlueSky MU - 11/1 12:56:48
                                   I'm not. i'm telling you to check them all... - SuperTone MU - 11/1 12:57:37
                                        I am looking at them all. In a polling aggregate (nm) - MrBlueSky MU - 11/1 13:01:53
                                             you are paying no attention to the underlying data - FootballRefugee MU - 11/1 13:34:37
                                             and what are the skews of each of them?(nm) - SuperTone MU - 11/1 13:03:06
                                        your desperation is what i see. - mizzou alum 93 MU - 11/1 12:59:07
                              that is why an aggregate of polls is better. - mizzou alum 93 MU - 11/1 12:55:39
                                   check all the skews....it isn't hard. - SuperTone MU - 11/1 12:57:10
                                        what does 538's aggregate of polls have - mizzou alum 93 MU - 11/1 12:58:31
                                             do you know what skews are?(nm) - SuperTone MU - 11/1 13:03:26
                                                  yes. - mizzou alum 93 MU - 11/1 13:04:17
                                                       so what are they? Post them if you really know - SuperTone MU - 11/1 13:06:19
                                                            my lord you are desperate. do you not know what an - mizzou alum 93 MU - 11/1 13:07:07
                                                                 why do you keep avoiding the numbers? - SuperTone MU - 11/1 13:09:14
                                                                      you are assuming they are skewed. and they are just as - mizzou alum 93 MU - 11/1 13:11:42
                                                                           I have verified they are skewed through Gallups polling - SuperTone MU - 11/1 13:23:53
                                                                                prove it. and prove gallups polling is accurate while - mizzou alum 93 MU - 11/1 13:24:45
                                                                                     I am. That is why I asked you to pick a poll - SuperTone MU - 11/1 13:29:09
                                                                                          nice laydown. (nm) - mizzou alum 93 MU - 11/1 13:30:24
                                                                                               LOL!! This guy competely humiliated & bails. What a Tard!(nm) - STL1DFW STL - 11/1 14:31:04
                         supertone's "common sense" is superior to the 538 - mizzou alum 93 MU - 11/1 12:50:33
                              There hasn't been a poll in over a month showing Donnie - MrBlueSky MU - 11/1 12:51:23
                                   That is not true. Even in the links you provided 1 poll had - JeffB MU - 11/1 13:22:29




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