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The 3 close states Trump needs to win to win the election
Posted on: November 1, 2016 at 12:40:25 CT
JeffB MU
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based upon the most recent polls posted to www.270towin.com . Those three include Iowa & North Carolina (tied) & Colorado +1% Hillary lean, per those polls.
The usual caveats apply, such as Trump winning the states where he's currently leading in the polls.
Edited by JeffB at 12:42:36 on 11/01/16
The usual caveats apply, such as Trump winning the states where he's currently leading in the polls.
% % % % lean Trump Hillary
State EV Hillary Trump 0ther Hillary date EV EV POLL
DC * 3 90 10 80 09/06/16 538 3 n/a
Maryland 10 63 27 4 36 10/06/16 535 13 Wash Post/U of Maryland
Massachusetts 11 57 25 11 32 10/27/16 525 24 Suffolk University
Vermont 3 50 22 16 28 10/27/16 514 27 WCAX
Hawaii 4 51 25 10 26 09/06/16 511 31 Wash Post/Survey Monkey
California 55 54 28 8 26 10/27/16 507 86 PPIC
New York 29 54 30 7 24 10/19/16 452 115 Siena College
Delaware 3 51 30 10 21 10/03/16 423 118 Univ Delaware
Rhode Island 4 52 32 6 20 10/06/16 420 122 Emerson College
Washington 12 48 31 19 17 10/24/16 416 134 Elway Poll
Connecticut 7 50 35 2 15 09/07/16 404 141 Emerson College
Illinois 20 53 41 4 12 11/01/16 397 161 Emerson College
New Jersey 14 51 40 9 11 10/18/16 377 175 Fairleigh Dickenson
Pennsylvania 20 49 38 7 11 11/01/16 363 195 Franklin & Marshall
Oregon 7 46 36 8 10 10/18/16 343 202 KGW/Oregonian
New Mexico 5 41 33 3 8 10/18/16 336 207 Wash Post/Survey Monkey
Minnesota 10 47 39 7 8 10/24/16 331 217 Minneapolis Star Tribune
Michigan 16 50 43 1 7 10/28/16 321 233 Emerson College
Virginia 13 48.5 43.5 2 5 11/01/16 305 246 Emerson CollegeWashPost
Maine 3 46 42 6 4 11/01/16 292 249 Emerson College
Wisconsin 10 46 42 8 4 10/31/16 289 259 Remington Research
New Hampshire 4 46 43 3 3 10/28/16 279 263 Emerson College
Maine 2nd Dist 1 44 42 17 2 11/01/16 275 264 Emerson College
Colorado 9 45 44 7 1 10/31/16 274 273 Remington Research
Iowa 6 44 44 7 0 10/27/16 265 279 Quinnipiac
North Carolina 15 42 42 13 0 11/01/16 259 294 Elon University
Alaska 3 36 37 17 -1 10/16/16 244 297 Lake Research
Arizona 11 42 44 9 -2 10/30/16 241 308 YouGov/CBS
Mississippi 6 43 46 5 -3 09/16/16 230 314 Wash Post/Survey Monkey
Texas 38 42 45 4 -3 10/27/16 224 352 University of Texas
Nevada 6 44 48 4 -4 10/31/16 186 358 Remington Research
South Carolina 9 38 42 11 -4 09/29/16 180 367 Winthrop University
Florida 29 44 48 6 -4 10/31/16 171 396 Remington Research
Missouri 10 42 47 7 -5 10/27/16 142 406 Mason-Dixon
Ohio 18 43 48 6 -5 10/31/16 132 424 Remington Research
Georgia 16 42 49 6 -7 10/31/16 114 440 SurveyUSA & WXIA-TV
Utah 6 24 32 9 -8 10/30/16 98 446 Dan Jones & Assoc.
North Dakota 3 32 43 16 -11 09/20/16 92 449 DFM Research
Kansas 6 36 47 8 -11 10/17/16 89 455 SurveyUSA
Indiana 11 39 50 7 -11 10/31/16 83 466 Monmouth University
Arkansas 6 39.5 51 5.5 -11.5 10/24/16 72 472 avg Hendrick & Remington
Tennessee 11 34.5 46 13 -11.5 10/04/16 66 483 MTSU/Vanderbilt
South Dakota 3 35 49 9 -14 11/01/16 55 486 Nielson Brothers
Louisiana 8 35 49 7 -14 10/28/16 52 494 University of New Orleans
Montana 3 27 43 21 -16 10/25/16 44 497 Montana State U
Idaho 4 29 48 7 -19 10/27/16 41 501 Rasmussen
Alabama 9 31 53 6 -22 09/06/16 37 510 Wash Post/Survey Monkey
Kentucky 8 29 52 7 -23 09/06/16 28 518 Wash Post/Survey Monkey
West Virginia 5 27 52 5 -25 09/06/16 20 523 Wash Post/Survey Monkey
Nebraska 5 29 56 7 -27 09/28/16 15 528 Emerson College
Oklahoma 7 30 60 5 -30 10/23/16 10 535 Sooner Poll
Wyoming 3 19 54 15 -35 09/21/16 3 538 DFM Research
Edited by JeffB at 12:42:36 on 11/01/16
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The 3 close states Trump needs to win to win the election - JeffB MU - 11/1 12:40:25