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so what are they? Post them if you really know
Posted on: November 1, 2016 at 13:06:19 CT
SuperTone
MU
Posts:
128107
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what they are. Pick one poll and provide them.
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MESSAGE THREAD
The 3 close states Trump needs to win to win the election
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JeffB
MU
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11/1 12:40:25
He absolutely needs PA to win. (nm)
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MrBlueSky
MU
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11/1 12:45:05
I just presented you with a sorted table showing an easier
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JeffB
MU
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11/1 13:29:07
You will be shamed election night
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raskolnikov
MU
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11/1 13:50:08
I'm just presenting the results of the latest state polls...
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JeffB
MU
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11/1 14:44:12
Needs OH, PA, NC too C's lead in PA - insurmountable
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raskolnikov
MU
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11/1 12:43:13
Not according to the most recent polls listed on 270towin.co
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JeffB
MU
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11/1 12:51:08
RE: Not according to the most recent polls listed on 270towin.co
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MrBlueSky
MU
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11/1 12:52:08
I'm using the most recent polls. 538 is using older polls
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JeffB
MU
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11/1 13:32:07
Has not been that big a shift and it is still early to take
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raskolnikov
MU
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11/1 13:51:10
RE: I'm using the most recent polls. 538 is using older polls
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mizzou alum 93
MU
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11/1 13:33:14
My point still stands regardless of 538's assertion that the
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JeffB
MU
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11/1 13:37:08
You sure are a true believer
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raskolnikov
MU
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11/1 13:52:24
You don't need anyone to tell you, just look at the polls co
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JeffB
MU
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11/1 16:15:54
and 538 does weigh the new polls "heavier" for lack of a
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mizzou alum 93
MU
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11/1 13:38:28
So it boils down to whether you believe 538's algorithms
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JeffB
MU
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11/1 13:42:56
well, they have been pretty accurate the last 3 elections
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mizzou alum 93
MU
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11/1 13:44:40
The unusual circumstances of having one set of polls taken
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JeffB
MU
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11/1 13:49:10
all 3 are easy Trump wins.(nm)
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SuperTone
MU
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11/1 12:41:06
Iowa is but the other two are not easy.
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MrBlueSky
MU
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11/1 12:46:52
he is up big in both.(nm)
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SuperTone
MU
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11/1 12:47:50
Uhhhh..
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MrBlueSky
MU
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11/1 12:49:28
oops. meant to post here:
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JeffB
MU
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11/1 13:31:04
you are assuming the comey announcement is having
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mizzou alum 93
MU
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11/1 13:32:31
My reply from above: 'My point still stands regardless of
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JeffB
MU
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11/1 13:45:52
BUT, those Colorado & North Carolina polls end earlier than
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JeffB
MU
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11/1 13:01:36
check the skews and compare to gallup's running
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SuperTone
MU
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11/1 12:54:05
You can't just cherry pick favorable polls here and there
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MrBlueSky
MU
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11/1 12:56:48
I'm not. i'm telling you to check them all...
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SuperTone
MU
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11/1 12:57:37
I am looking at them all. In a polling aggregate (nm)
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MrBlueSky
MU
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11/1 13:01:53
you are paying no attention to the underlying data
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FootballRefugee
MU
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11/1 13:34:37
and what are the skews of each of them?(nm)
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SuperTone
MU
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11/1 13:03:06
your desperation is what i see.
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mizzou alum 93
MU
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11/1 12:59:07
that is why an aggregate of polls is better.
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mizzou alum 93
MU
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11/1 12:55:39
check all the skews....it isn't hard.
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SuperTone
MU
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11/1 12:57:10
what does 538's aggregate of polls have
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mizzou alum 93
MU
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11/1 12:58:31
do you know what skews are?(nm)
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SuperTone
MU
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11/1 13:03:26
yes.
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mizzou alum 93
MU
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11/1 13:04:17
so what are they? Post them if you really know
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SuperTone
MU
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11/1 13:06:19
my lord you are desperate. do you not know what an
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mizzou alum 93
MU
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11/1 13:07:07
why do you keep avoiding the numbers?
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SuperTone
MU
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11/1 13:09:14
you are assuming they are skewed. and they are just as
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mizzou alum 93
MU
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11/1 13:11:42
I have verified they are skewed through Gallups polling
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SuperTone
MU
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11/1 13:23:53
prove it. and prove gallups polling is accurate while
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mizzou alum 93
MU
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11/1 13:24:45
I am. That is why I asked you to pick a poll
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SuperTone
MU
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11/1 13:29:09
nice laydown. (nm)
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mizzou alum 93
MU
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11/1 13:30:24
LOL!! This guy competely humiliated & bails. What a Tard!(nm)
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STL1DFW
STL
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11/1 14:31:04
supertone's "common sense" is superior to the 538
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mizzou alum 93
MU
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11/1 12:50:33
There hasn't been a poll in over a month showing Donnie
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MrBlueSky
MU
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11/1 12:51:23
That is not true. Even in the links you provided 1 poll had
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JeffB
MU
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11/1 13:22:29