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That would mean they predicted well over 450,000 deaths

Posted on: April 23, 2020 at 09:49:17 CT
kmawv8 KC
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factoring in social distancing. They did not. A factor of 10 is as big of an exaggeration as you're stating the models are.
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If this article is true - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/23 08:46:07
     Looks like old and sick need to be concerned otherwise - MU-TULSA MU - 4/23 09:43:33
     RE: If this article is true - MOCO SON MU - 4/23 09:26:44
          And many thought they had a bad flu and still got over it.(nm) - DHighlander NWMSU - 4/23 09:29:17
          Yep - the vast majority of those who had it thought it - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/23 09:28:54
     Exactly, but the damage is done....nm - tigertix MU - 4/23 09:25:13
          Much is done for sure - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/23 09:26:42
               You would think - ashtray UF - 4/23 09:31:18
                    Looks like Miami-Dade is getting ready to try it - Mormad MU - 4/23 09:43:14
                         A couple of beaches have opened - ashtray UF - 4/23 09:46:28
                              Yup, that's what I'm paying attention to - Eggs MU - 4/23 09:55:00
     Give this some thought: Cities/States (clusters of people - 90Tiger STL - 4/23 09:20:18
          Yes, and now that hospitals are not be overwhelmed - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/23 09:26:16
          Or, another possibility - not saying it's the case - Mormad MU - 4/23 09:22:41
               the start and end dates and execution on these social - 90Tiger STL - 4/23 10:40:01
               It may be a combination. Apparently the very young are - GA Tiger MU - 4/23 09:30:04
                    We know the comorbidities that leave people most - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/23 09:31:07
               Or the strain in NY is a more deadly strain than - ashtray UF - 4/23 09:27:45
               Most models took social distancing into account - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/23 09:27:26
                    The 2.2 million number did not - ashtray UF - 4/23 09:29:22
                         RE: The 2.2 million number did not - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/23 09:31:36
                              That would mean they predicted well over 450,000 deaths - kmawv8 MU - 4/23 09:49:17
                                   They predicted 800K, then 600K, then 400K, then between - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/23 09:50:34
                                        I've been following from the begining and agree the models - kmawv8 MU - 4/23 09:53:32
                                             As for the other models with much higher death numbers - kmawv8 MU - 4/23 09:54:54
                              Yes. (nm) - ashtray UF - 4/23 09:33:37
                    That sort of makes sense though, intiially - Mormad MU - 4/23 09:28:48
                         And the only people we knew had it were the worst of the - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/23 09:30:09
                              Because you had to meet such strict conditions - ashtray UF - 4/23 09:33:06
                                   Agreed - that is why I am less concerned with the decisions - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/23 09:35:12
                                        definitely (nm) - ashtray UF - 4/23 09:36:26
     I don't think anyone doubts that is true - Mormad MU - 4/23 09:16:00
          It is worse than the flu in many ways - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/23 09:17:38
               for some folks, it's less bad than the flu (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 4/23 09:20:44
                    Yes, viruses look for genetic predisposition they can attack - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/23 09:36:31
     "It's totally under control..." - mizzoumurfkc KC - 4/23 09:14:50
          Murf and Tex with their usual solid contributions(nm) - redngray MU - 4/23 09:22:23
               lol rng (nm) - SwampTiger MU - 4/23 09:22:56
                    Meaning?(nm) - redngray MU - 4/23 09:25:25
                         you calling somebody out about contributions if funny (nm) - SwampTiger MU - 4/23 09:45:03
                              Well, no doubt you should be proud of your own posts - redngray MU - 4/23 11:21:10
          you're a child (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 4/23 09:20:58
               You're - mizzoumurfkc KC - 4/23 09:29:46
     Hysteria huh? Thank you Dr. The hubris of derps here. - TexJohnson MU - 4/23 09:06:30
          Based on initial predictions of deaths in the millions - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/23 09:15:51
               The world took unprecendented preventative measures - TexJohnson MU - 4/23 09:20:07
                    Do you understand enough to know that flattening the curve - DHighlander NWMSU - 4/23 09:43:10
                         Most people are too hysterical to understand that and that - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/23 09:46:34
               I'd call it pretty serious - Mormad MU - 4/23 09:19:40
          LOL, Sux. - Emoji Man MSU - 4/23 09:07:56
               Talk about creating your own fantasies,stop crying,karen - TexJohnson MU - 4/23 09:17:29
                    SuxJohnson is the original dick slurp derp. - Emoji Man MSU - 4/23 09:24:52
                         So funny - Wildcat KSU - 4/23 09:43:19
                              So true. Although the 👍🏾 is not SuxJohnson’s favorite thing - Emoji Man MSU - 4/23 09:48:51
                         Keep screaming at the sky, karen, LMAO - TexJohnson MU - 4/23 09:29:10
                              Nm - Emoji Man MSU - 4/23 09:46:33
                              SuxJohnson ➡️ 🍆😮 - Emoji Man MSU - 4/23 09:42:14
     to some extent - meatiger MU - 4/23 08:52:14
          We cannot stop the outbreaks - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/23 09:00:50
               The problem is that a significant portion of our - DHighlander NWMSU - 4/23 09:28:22
                    We need leaders to lead - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/23 09:41:41
                    Who would be the best person to get that message out? - ashtray UF - 4/23 09:35:59
                         It cannot be done through press conferences and interviews. - DHighlander NWMSU - 4/23 09:50:38
                              Yeah, the media should shape the message - ashtray UF - 4/23 09:55:34




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