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so according to you, UK had a 75% chance of winning...

Posted on: March 22, 2024 at 11:32:21 CT
zounami MU
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The computers said it was around ~90%.

So you and the computers both agree that Kentucky's odds in a *single trial* were very good.

When people (including statisticians) talk about "luck", it's about things that involve chance. And when an improbable outcome occurs (1-in-4, or 1-in-10) the beneficiary of it is considered "lucky".

There's a lot of chance in sports – every shot attempt, every rebound, even the officiating.

That's why the same two teams can play each other multiple times in the same season, with drastically different results each time.
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The SEC was exposed yesterday... 1-3, with all 3 losses - zounami MU - 3/22 08:59:25
     only uk surprised though ... - tmcats KSU - 3/22 11:58:31
     Exposed how, exactly - Hickeytime MU - 3/22 09:32:07
          It is ridiculous - Genco98 MU - 3/22 12:13:40
          Auburn and Bama should win, A&M and UF are toss ups..nm - tigertix MU - 3/22 10:29:48
               agreed... 4 seed, 4 seed, 7 seed, 9 seed... the SEC will go - zounami MU - 3/22 10:36:22
          no ****. "last year was embarrasing b/c we lost to a 15" - TigerA MU - 3/22 09:39:54
          Kentucky & USC finished tied for #2 in the SEC standings.... - zounami MU - 3/22 09:35:21
               So those three games define the season? - Hickeytime MU - 3/22 09:37:51
                    The SEC didn't have a great non conference season - KC rules MU - 3/22 09:45:19
                         Then no exposing was done yesterday - Hickeytime MU - 3/22 10:46:42
                              More or less. The teams that lost yesterday were - KC rules MU - 3/22 13:19:50
                              people have short-term memories (nm) - zounami MU - 3/22 10:50:07
                                   Your OP said the SEC was exposed yesterday - Hickeytime MU - 3/22 10:51:38
                                        it was, for uninformed idiots like this guy... - zounami MU - 3/22 10:54:50
                                             So it wasn’t exposed yesterday - Hickeytime MU - 3/22 11:01:24
                                                  for the ignorant uninformed masses, it was... - zounami MU - 3/22 11:02:32
                         correct, the SEC fared poorly against non-SEC teams (nm) - zounami MU - 3/22 09:50:48
                    no, it just reveals how soft the SEC was this year (nm) - zounami MU - 3/22 09:39:28
                         gives me great hope for a MU recovery next year. (nm) - TigerA MU - 3/22 09:50:35
                              it all depends on how much "NIL" we throw at the problem (nm) - zounami MU - 3/22 09:53:53
                                   Gates stupid system will be a drag on this team no - gaber c. MU - 3/22 10:13:41
                                        correct... the strategy should be "buy a roster that even - zounami MU - 3/22 10:22:21
                                        wasn't a drag last season(nm) - TigerA MU - 3/22 10:15:18
                                             last year's team had 2 NBA players including a first-rounder - zounami MU - 3/22 10:24:20
                                                  so his system worked the entire year but then dragged them - TigerA MU - 3/22 10:29:28
                                                       it underachieved with the amount of talent on the roster... - zounami MU - 3/22 10:32:11
                                                            There are 363 D1 teams. - haeffb MU - 3/22 10:41:40
                                                                 but most of those are mid- and low-majors (nm) - zounami MU - 3/22 10:48:24
                                                                      Yes (nm) - haeffb MU - 3/22 10:52:01
                                                                           Mizzou is a high-major. Therefore, expectations are higher (nm) - zounami MU - 3/22 10:56:00
                                                                                You’re the one who said “average team.” (nm) - haeffb MU - 3/22 11:01:43
                                                                                     among our peers in the P5.. if you include high school teams - zounami MU - 3/22 11:04:50
                                                                                          I just looked again - haeffb MU - 3/22 11:35:23
                                                                                               And you're wrong, again... I said "slightly above-average" - zounami MU - 3/22 11:38:17
                                                                                yet you keep hounding on Gate's ratings at C-State - meatiger MU - 3/22 10:58:11
                                                                                     correct, he never proved he could win at a high level... - zounami MU - 3/22 11:00:12
                                                                                          He was at Cleveland State - meatiger MU - 3/22 11:06:54
                                                                                               There was nothing in his resume that suggested he was ready - zounami MU - 3/22 11:37:18
                                                            they were picked to finish much lower than they did so - TigerA MU - 3/22 10:39:46
                                                                 We finished 57 in Kenpom (similar in other computer models) - zounami MU - 3/22 10:47:42
                         No it doesn’t-(nm) - Hickeytime MU - 3/22 09:41:10
                              keep telling yourself that (nm) - zounami MU - 3/22 09:49:09
     RE: The SEC was exposed yesterday... 1-3, with all 3 losses - tigertix MU - 3/22 09:22:22
          In most cases, the non conference schedule is a good - KC rules MU - 3/22 09:37:44
     But Mizzou didn't lose--Gates should be proud - mu7176grad MU - 3/22 09:21:36
          The cuckold has spoken (nm) - ChinaTiger KC - 3/22 09:32:43
               you never reply with counterpoints, just low IQ ad homs (nm) - zounami MU - 3/22 09:36:09
                    But he’s correct - Hickeytime MU - 3/22 09:40:14
                         no, it's just low IQ name-calling (nm) - zounami MU - 3/22 09:48:33
                              But he’s correct (nm) - Hickeytime MU - 3/22 10:52:47
                                   no, he's projecting (nm) - zounami MU - 3/22 10:56:24
                    Take your pills freak (nm) - ChinaTiger KC - 3/22 09:37:55
                         RE: Take your pills freak (nm) - CPA MU - 3/22 10:23:30
                         you're proving my point (nm) - zounami MU - 3/22 09:40:01
     The appeal of the tournament and the format is - FIJItiger MU - 3/22 09:08:44
          And people seem to think this will happen in a football - meatiger MU - 3/22 09:44:20
               In basketball if one of your five players has an exceptional - DHighlander NWMSU - 3/22 10:18:11
          agree 100%(nm) - TigerA MU - 3/22 09:24:30
               And feej is rarely correct (nm) - TheWildcat MU - 3/22 09:26:19
                    lol(nm) - TigerA MU - 3/22 09:28:15
          Yep. It's a total crapshoot in the early rounds (nm) - Tiger Strangiato MU - 3/22 09:20:02
               3 vs 14 isn't a "crapshoot"... look at the statistics (nm) - zounami MU - 3/22 09:21:37
                    what statistics?(nm) - TigerA MU - 3/22 09:24:57
                         14-vs-3 seed record all-time: 130-22 (.855)... - zounami MU - 3/22 09:29:43
                    Yep, early round upsets are super rare... (nm) - Tiger Strangiato MU - 3/22 09:24:17
                    Right, and SC wasn't in the same league as Oregon...nm - tigertix MU - 3/22 09:23:27
          Agreed (nm) - TheWildcat MU - 3/22 09:10:09
     If Mizzou played all 68 tournament teams this year, what - semotiger83 MU - 3/22 09:05:12
          The 2023 or 2024 version?(nm) - meatiger MU - 3/22 09:30:36
          The season's over. Let it die peacefully.(nm) - Diamond Dave MU - 3/22 09:20:49
               you blasted Drink for going 3-5 in SEC football, but Gates - zounami MU - 3/22 09:57:50
               Mizzou fans can’t do that - Hickeytime MU - 3/22 09:33:56
                    The '23-24 basketball season hasn't ended yet... - zounami MU - 3/22 09:38:55
                         I expect guys like you to talk about it - Hickeytime MU - 3/22 10:53:49
          The team that finished the season 0-19 or the one - DHighlander NWMSU - 3/22 09:14:42
               we didn't beat any tourney teams, we did lose to Jackson St - zounami MU - 3/22 09:18:01
                    True but I would not be surprised to see us go .500 against - DHighlander NWMSU - 3/22 09:21:38
                         You're delusional. There are only 6 teams in the tourney... - zounami MU - 3/22 09:27:51
                              I don't think you realize how bad the bottom of the bracket - DHighlander NWMSU - 3/22 09:45:19
                                   none of those teams we beat were good enough to make - zounami MU - 3/22 09:49:52
                                        According to the computers - meatiger MU - 3/22 10:14:02
                                             Several teams got “lucky” according to the computers (nm) - haeffb MU - 3/22 10:18:26
                                                  do you think Kentucky is better than Oakland? (nm) - zounami MU - 3/22 10:39:01
                                                       Yes. (nm) - haeffb MU - 3/22 10:47:41
                                                            how many times out of 100 do you think UK would beat them? (nm) - zounami MU - 3/22 10:50:47
                                                                 Depends on the circumstances. - haeffb MU - 3/22 10:59:20
                                                                      yeah, I figured you'd avoid that question (nm) - zounami MU - 3/22 11:00:46
                                                                           In Rupp, 99 of 100 - haeffb MU - 3/22 11:04:00
                                                                                so according to you, UK had a 75% chance of winning... - zounami MU - 3/22 11:32:21
                                                                                     No, there isn’t a lot of chance in sports. - haeffb MU - 3/22 11:42:33
                                                                                          You're wrong. A simple example is free-throw shooting... - zounami MU - 3/22 11:57:40
                                                                                               I pick you. - haeffb MU - 3/22 12:03:25
                                                                                                    yeah, I figured you'd avoid that question (nm) - zounami MU - 3/22 12:33:53
                                                       Not yesterday(nm) - meatiger MU - 3/22 10:41:35
                                                  LMAO(nm) - meatiger MU - 3/22 10:36:23
                                                  And if Mizzou played all sixty-eight of the tourney teams - DHighlander NWMSU - 3/22 10:22:00
                                                       the way they were playing down the stretch - meatiger MU - 3/22 10:37:43
                                                       Mizzou went 0-12 against tourney teams, and 0-19 against - zounami MU - 3/22 10:27:29
                                                            Again, if the tourney were made up of the top 68 teams your - DHighlander NWMSU - 3/22 10:38:37
                                                                 You'd have said that about Jackson State as well. (nm) - zounami MU - 3/22 10:39:40
                                                                      So you really believe Mizzou would go 0-68 against the field - DHighlander NWMSU - 3/22 11:19:30
                                                                           It's certainly possible. Personally, I think he'd go 3-65 or - zounami MU - 3/22 11:39:14
                                                                      You are a contradiction in one thread(nm) - meatiger MU - 3/22 10:53:04
                                        Do you actually believe that the tourney is made up of the - DHighlander NWMSU - 3/22 10:12:54
                                             Gates found ways to lose. 0-12 vs tourney teams. 0-19 vs - zounami MU - 3/22 10:29:15
          well, what *was* our record against teams in the tourney? (nm) - zounami MU - 3/22 09:11:55
               I thought that originally but our schedule was skewed - DHighlander NWMSU - 3/22 09:16:39
                    like who, Kentucky?... they just lost to 14-seed Oakland - zounami MU - 3/22 09:19:32
                         Shlt happens in the tourney. I heard that the kid from - DHighlander NWMSU - 3/22 09:24:17
                              He has made 131 three pointers this season - KC rules MU - 3/22 09:53:19
                              Wrong again. Oakland would absolutely be favored over us... - zounami MU - 3/22 09:37:29
               ...our record was 0-12 against tourney teams (nm) - zounami MU - 3/22 09:16:06
     RE: The SEC was exposed yesterday... 1-3, with all 3 losses - redngray MU - 3/22 09:05:12




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