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You're using an estimated number for cases, which likely

Posted on: January 25, 2021 at 22:14:53 CT

SparkyStalcup MU

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includes people that were infected but never actually tested positive, and comparing it with a confirmed number of dead that actually tested positive. Apples and oranges...your rate is obviously much lower than reality.

Please explain why this message is being reported.

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MESSAGE THREAD

More than half of Missourians have already had Covid & - JeffB MU

- 1/25 20:44:37

"Lies, damned lies, and statistics." - tarheeltiger MU - 1/25 21:16:39

where are you getting more than half? - fatrat MU - 1/25 20:54:38

I only know a few who haven't had it - Bad Breath MU - 1/26 06:59:51

RE: where are you getting more than half? - JeffB MU

- 1/25 21:06:00

He's using an incorrect infection fatality rate. Moreover, - SparkyStalcup MU - 1/25 21:04:17

Link?(nm) - DollarSigns MU - 1/25 21:13:53

Here's the one he's probably referring to - SparkyStalcup MU - 1/25 21:16:55

I was going off of a CDC page from a few months or so - JeffB MU

- 1/25 22:00:03

You're using an estimated number for cases, which likely - SparkyStalcup MU - 1/25 22:14:53

That is how infection fatality rates have always been estima - JeffB MU

- 1/25 22:27:39

What I'm getting at is that you are estimating cases but - SparkyStalcup MU - 1/25 22:34:48

"we are testing all dead people" - ummmm MU - 1/26 07:12:04

I figured someone might pick up on that. The problem is - SparkyStalcup MU - 1/26 08:16:18

I've seen papers claiming that the death rate is overstated. - JeffB MU

- 1/26 12:20:30

The study he is probably citing has a 1.15% infection - SparkyStalcup MU - 1/25 21:09:08