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I very much doubt we'll be at 2k deaths per day for 2 months

Posted on: November 27, 2020 at 10:52:44 CT
JeffB MU
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The 7 day moving average for new deaths may have peaked Nov 25th at 1,712, though Thanksgiving might give a bit of a bump. The high for the first wave (7 day moving average) was 2,259 on April 21st during the initial wave.

http://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

A little over 35% of the US has already been infected at a .23% infection fatality rate. That's half way to herd immunity already. That is already a natural drag on the spread rate compared to when the virus first hit. That natural drag will only continue to grow as more people are infected or immunized until we reach herd immunity at which point the new infection rates will start naturally falling even if there were no artificial measures taken to slow the spread.


Edited by JeffB at 10:57:24 on 11/27/20
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Trump Says Coronavirus Vaccine Deliveries to Begin Next Week - JeffB MU - 11/27 10:25:51
     Chipping of the American public starting next week. Thanks - TigerFan92 STL - 11/27 11:05:56
          There are a lot of retarded conspiracy theories out there - Ferg MU - 11/27 11:09:25
               yer ignorance of science does not shock me(nm) - TigerFan92 STL - 11/27 11:19:32
                    Somebody in authority told Ferg it’s all good. So, it’s all - Emoji Man MSU - 11/27 12:23:46
                    what does your conspiracy theory have to do with science? - Ferg MU - 11/27 11:21:16
                         Even google hasn't shut down the vaccine science but - TigerFan92 STL - 11/27 13:49:10
     why does it take 2 weeks to have this emergancy meeting? - tigerinhogtown STL - 11/27 10:46:47
          Maybe the should be working 24/7(nm) - tman MU - 11/27 11:20:55
          Per Ferg's link below: - JeffB MU - 11/27 11:02:06
     Not much longer before side effects take root. - glue MU - 11/27 10:34:09
          I'm good friends with a few nurses - Eggs MU - 11/27 10:36:26
               They may be forced to take it, but it's a state issue att... - glue MU - 11/27 10:40:34
                    If enough health care workers say, ok... see ya, they will - JeffB MU - 11/27 10:59:05
                    That would be insane - Eggs MU - 11/27 10:43:18
     The vaccine will be shipped immediately after the FDA - Ferg MU - 11/27 10:32:38
     Hope it helps, but with 200K cases and 2K deaths per day - Eggs MU - 11/27 10:32:27
          I very much doubt we'll be at 2k deaths per day for 2 months - JeffB MU - 11/27 10:52:44
               Yup, that's the only way this is going to end - Eggs MU - 11/27 11:04:16
                    We've already seen the tail off in most states. If you look - JeffB MU - 11/27 11:13:18
                         US data is a bit complicated too because the differences - Eggs MU - 11/27 11:19:11
                    Lmao herd immunity - Say_What MU - 11/27 11:06:01
                         Why do you fight against the science? - JeffB MU - 11/27 11:15:54
                         Da_Joke (nm) - SwampTiger MU - 11/27 11:08:03
                         Since you're the expert, what is our way out of this? - Eggs MU - 11/27 11:07:49
                              Vaccines you monumental moron - Say_What MU - 11/27 11:08:36
                                   Vaccines are herd immunity doofus. (nm) - TigerMatt STL - 11/27 11:33:40
                                   Why so emotional? I said vaccines were part of the equation - Eggs MU - 11/27 11:09:48
                                        A favored tactic on this board - Say_What MU - 11/27 11:11:54
                                        Because he's Da_🤡 (nm) - SwampTiger MU - 11/27 11:10:44
               Where are you getting 35%? - Say_What MU - 11/27 11:02:31
                    Says the person who makes handles to follow people - Say_What MU - 11/27 11:13:35
                         Are you stalking yourself? (nm) - JeffB MU - 11/27 11:16:37
                    Deaths X infection fatality rate = #infected. Infected/popul - JeffB MU - 11/27 11:09:35
                         So where are you getting your fatality rate of .2% - Say_What MU - 11/27 11:10:36
                              The CDC's Infection Fatality Rates as of September - JeffB MU - 11/27 11:48:35
                                   The median age in the US is 38.1 yrs. - JeffB MU - 11/27 12:19:57
                              I'm not sure where you got that number, I was using the more - JeffB MU - 11/27 11:35:21
                    Look how many asymptomatic cases they're finding - Eggs MU - 11/27 11:06:02
                         So no source just going with your gut - Say_What MU - 11/27 11:08:56
                              It seems that you are the one going by your feelings rather - JeffB MU - 11/27 11:45:37
     unpossible! We were told that Trump lied and had no - Spanky KU - 11/27 10:30:05




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