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What do you suggest?

Posted on: April 13, 2020 at 13:27:02 CT

Gyro MU

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M.O.B. Votes:

The modeling has suffered from step one since we're doing very little testing. We just don't have reliable inputs to make the modeling stronger. So again, what's your suggestion?

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MESSAGE THREAD

Wait, now MO is supposed to peak on 4/26/20 - Sal MU

- 4/13 13:04:03

I peaked last night - 615Tiger STL - 4/13 13:47:18

did you forget to lotion yer hand? don't want it chapped(nm) - TigerFan92 MU - 4/13 14:29:01

And it might go back to 5/18. Forecasting Techniques 101(nm) - miz_zou MU - 4/13 13:36:24

Yeah, the models they are using change on the time... - Gyro MU - 4/13 13:19:09

do you support the gov and mayors' orders? (nm) - SwampTiger MU - 4/13 13:25:36

I absolutely think the economy should not be re-opened... - Gyro MU - 4/13 13:28:17

wow (nm) - pickle MU

- 4/13 14:33:44

What does "the threat has passed" mean to you?(nm) - dangertim MU

- 4/13 13:44:43

The threat won't pass until a vaccine is available - Sal MU

- 4/13 13:28:52

not to mention a new vaccine is needed every year - ashtray UF - 4/13 13:45:42

So the only question... - Gyro MU - 4/13 13:29:29

so you think the order should remain in place until there is - SwampTiger MU - 4/13 13:31:13

and yet we're using those models as justification - dangertim MU

- 4/13 13:25:02

What do you suggest? - Gyro MU - 4/13 13:27:02

not to use faulty assumptions to destroy the economy. - dangertim MU

- 4/13 13:28:16

So you're saying the modeling is unreliable... - Gyro MU - 4/13 13:30:02

So if the data isn't reliable - Sal MU

- 4/13 13:27:37

What else is there to do/use? - MrBlueSky MU - 4/13 13:29:52

Principles. (nm) - ummmm MU - 4/13 14:02:29

common sense and liberty-mindedness(nm) - MizzouAstro MU

- 4/13 13:58:40

You seem to accept that with the current models lol (nm) - Sal MU

- 4/13 13:30:38

lol he's so dumb(nm) - Ragnar Danneskjold MU

- 4/13 13:45:15

They're based on the data in real time - MrBlueSky MU - 4/13 13:31:40

He was thinking "model" as in tall Ukranian woman... - Gyro MU - 4/13 13:34:31

The data has been awful (nm) - Sal MU

- 4/13 13:32:03

That is a function - MrBlueSky MU - 4/13 13:32:30

And a lack of good data... - Gyro MU - 4/13 13:33:46

Be that as it may, if the data is bad and the resulting - ummmm MU - 4/13 14:03:51

So you both are admitting the data is terrible - Sal MU

- 4/13 13:34:22

Oh Sal, first of all, you still haven't answered... - Gyro MU - 4/13 13:35:51

you didn't answer mine (nm) - SwampTiger MU - 4/13 13:43:40

I answered it (nm) - Sal MU

- 4/13 13:37:23

Link?(nm) - Gyro MU - 4/13 13:38:55

I said I don't agree with any shelter in place orders - Sal MU

- 4/13 13:43:04

lmfao you are dumb as f*** (nm) - Sal MU

- 4/13 13:33:45

How is it not? (nm) - MrBlueSky MU - 4/13 13:34:14

Trumpian level free stylin'... - Gyro MU - 4/13 13:30:35

Great point...what should they use? - Gyro MU - 4/13 13:28:55

What are Trump's metrics? - Sal MU

- 4/13 13:30:23

Not sure, he pointed to his head when asked...remember? - Gyro MU - 4/13 13:31:05

It's almost like they don't really have much confidence - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/13 13:06:13

Or it's almost like they adjust the model when they get new - SparkyStalcup MU - 4/13 13:18:34

If your model goes from 1 million, to 200k to 100k to 50k - Ragnar Danneskjold MU

- 4/13 13:26:12

and we used the models from 2 weeks ago to shut down - dangertim MU

- 4/13 13:25:32

Yet always seem to skew thoughts to a worst case scenario - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/13 13:19:30

I think it is nearly impossible to predict and project the - hokie VT - 4/13 13:09:38

I am sympathetic as well - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/13 13:12:41

Maybe michigan. But maybe not. And if trump is wrong and - hokie VT - 4/13 13:20:20

I am with you, and I am so thankful we have a businessman - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/13 13:27:27

Agree. I just don't know where the line is between safe and - hokie VT - 4/13 13:29:14

Totally agree with that - and caution is good - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/13 13:36:37

what's the next phase? - ashtray UF - 4/13 13:41:47

I am not sure the economy is a screwed as some think - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/13 13:49:19

I'm less concerned about the economy and more - SwampTiger MU - 4/13 14:03:35

I see them as one and the same - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/13 14:04:49

yeah, I get that, but saying economy makes it easier - SwampTiger MU - 4/13 14:11:47

every pillar wasn't really all that strong - ashtray UF - 4/13 14:00:56

There was an interest rate bubble from holding them down for - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/13 14:04:01

China's lockdown was all it took - ashtray UF - 4/13 14:51:16

it’s almost like it’s all about control (nm) - pickle MU

- 4/13 13:07:45

Neither does Fauci - Sal MU

- 4/13 13:07:28

It's almost like as more data becomes available - Da_Haze KC - 4/13 13:05:43

then why didn't they wait for more accurate info before - dangertim MU

- 4/13 13:26:10

Hey pal... that's not how the TB - mizzoumurfkc KC - 4/13 13:17:50

do you support the gov and mayors' orders? (nm) - SwampTiger MU - 4/13 13:18:50

I don't like any of it... - mizzoumurfkc KC - 4/13 13:32:13

deference to authority - SwampTiger MU - 4/13 13:38:09

One doesn’t have to be a rocket scientist to see the number - tigerNkc MU

- 4/13 13:11:36

or that model is just junk (nm) - Sal MU

- 4/13 13:06:54

do you support the MO stay at home order shutting down - SwampTiger MU - 4/13 13:06:38

Since I can't ban non essential county to county travel - Da_Haze KC - 4/13 13:09:34

it's not rampant in KC(nm) - dangertim MU

- 4/13 13:26:55

COVID isn't running rampant in KC (nm) - Sal MU

- 4/13 13:11:13

so what's the criteria for ending it? (nm) - SwampTiger MU - 4/13 13:10:43

What a silly question to ask - Da_Haze KC - 4/13 13:23:15

silly but then you answered it? - SwampTiger MU - 4/13 13:29:26

ok, missouri's healthcare won't be overran. Open it up?(nm) - dangertim MU

- 4/13 13:27:31

BUT IT'S SCIENCE! (nm) - hefeweizen MU

- 4/13 13:05:18

It's political science. nm - hokie VT - 4/13 13:06:05

Yes. Trump and his advisers are deliberately tanking - Da_Haze KC - 4/13 13:07:38

Of course hazel. Off you go. nm - hokie VT - 4/13 13:10:17

It's political(nm) - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 4/13 13:07:31

weeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee(nm) - Ragnar Danneskjold MU

- 4/13 13:04:28