You're missing a key piece: "His opportunity and playing
Posted on: May 14, 2019 at 13:11:03 CT
Mizzmi27 MU
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career would have been the same regardless of what season (in which he was a projected 1st rounder) he left college"
No one is saying a player should leave who's not even projected to go in the draft, usually high as well. A key assumption here is that in the seasons you're comparing you'e still talking about a good chunk of guaranteed money and a player who the franchise will feel obligated to give a very good chance.