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Not really. Staying in school he loses a year of earnings.

Posted on: April 13, 2018 at 15:20:23 CT
scif MU
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Assuming that he develops into a starting quality player, then he would get about $15,000,000 per year on his second contract. So, after four years, if he doesn't get hurt, and if he becomes a lottery pick, in your scenario he would earn about $8 to $14 million (college plus the initial 3 year contract), depending upon whether he goes closer to pick 14 or pick 5. If he goes now, picked in the bottom third of round one, over those same 4 years JP would make about $5 million in the first 3 years, plus $15 million in year one of his second contract. So, he would earn more by leaving now.

Looked at another way, if he plays to 35 years old, he will have one less year as a pro and one less year of high level earnings, if he stays. So, staying would cost him $15 million (or whatever a starting player makes by then. It may be more).

He may return, but it won't be because it makes financial sense to do so. About the only way he would end up worse financially is if he doesn't get a second contract at all. Even decent bench players get $6 to $8 million.
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Why it's unlikely JP returns and kU remain sleepless - Macgrantt MU - 4/13 13:50:59
     As far as KU, their PR strategy is clearly to spin this as - zounami MU - 4/13 20:47:22
          RE: As far as KU, their PR strategy is clearly to spin this as - SpaceOddity KU - 4/14 00:10:02
     "JP would be a lottery pick in 2019, so he's a bargain now" - zounami MU - 4/13 20:38:04
          It depends upon his success as a pro. If a starter, he - scif MU - 4/14 00:23:44
     kU is FUGGED and I am so happy! - TheNEWRemoteMan STL - 4/13 17:24:40
          RE: kU is FUGGED and I am so happy! - SpaceOddity KU - 4/14 00:11:00
     Sr's. new job is living with JP.....he'll get a pay raise... - tigertix MU - 4/13 16:06:37
     So if he is a likely lottery pick in 2019 put yourself in - Erwin Fletcher STL - 4/13 14:53:33
          perhaps he hates studying/school he's closer to next contrac - Macgrantt MU - 4/13 15:00:07
               That could be true. My point is if it comes down to making - Erwin Fletcher STL - 4/13 15:05:19
     If he is projected as a lottery for next yr, he could 3x his - MU-TULSA MU - 4/13 14:39:51
          But he loses a year of earnings. See my post below.(nm) - scif MU - 4/13 15:21:45
     RE: Why it's unlikely JP returns and kU remain sleepless - SpaceOddity KU - 4/13 14:37:58
          RE: Why it's unlikely JP returns and kU remain sleepless - o'lineydisciple MU - 4/13 15:09:57
          This is beautiful. Just beautiful.(nm) - Erwin Fletcher STL - 4/13 14:54:53
               RE: This is beautiful. Just beautiful.(nm) - SpaceOddity KU - 4/14 00:09:06
     RE: Why it's unlikely JP returns and kU remain sleepless - Big Ray 2 USA - 4/13 14:35:13
          will they have counselors for all the victims in the - ajpe53 MU - 4/13 14:37:46
               RE: will they have counselors for all the victims in the - Big Ray 2 USA - 4/13 15:12:30
                    don't worry, there never is(nm) - ajpe53 MU - 4/13 15:19:33
                         RE: don't worry, there never is(nm) - Big Ray 2 USA - 4/13 15:28:29
                              there wasn't really a hunger strike. (nm) - ajpe53 MU - 4/13 15:31:04
                                   mofo was eatin n shiiii(nm) - MidMoBaller4Life MU - 4/13 15:50:29
                                        lol(nm) - ajpe53 MU - 4/13 15:54:30
     I assume that Porter also knows any team drafting him - Newcatbirdseat MU - 4/13 14:30:02
     i think he is very good but do not get why he is a sure - ajpe53 MU - 4/13 14:02:49
     Right, so unless Jontay really doesn't want to come back, it - Yosa125 TAMU - 4/13 14:00:25
          Not really. Staying in school he loses a year of earnings. - scif MU - 4/13 15:20:23




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