# % % % % lean Trump Hillary
State EV Hillary Trump 0ther Hillary MoE date EV EV poll
DC * 3 90 10 80 09/06/16 538 3 n/a
Maryland 10 63 27 4 36 10/06/16 535 13 Wash Post/U of Maryland
Massachusetts 11 57 25 11 32 10/27/16 525 24 Suffolk University
Vermont 3 50 22 16 28 10/27/16 514 27 WCAX
Hawaii 4 51 25 10 26 09/06/16 511 31 Wash Post/Survey Monkey
New York 29 54 30 7 24 10/19/16 507 60 Siena College
Delaware 3 51 30 10 21 10/03/16 478 63 Univ Delaware
California 55 56 35 8 21 11/01/16 475 118 SurveyUSA
Rhode Island 4 52 32 6 20 10/06/16 420 122 Emerson College
Washington 12 48 31 19 17 10/24/16 416 134 Elway Poll
Connecticut 7 50 35 2 15 09/07/16 404 141 Emerson College
New Jersey 14 51 40 9 11 10/18/16 397 155 Fairleigh Dickenson
Illinois 20 49 37.5 8.5 8.4 11/01/16 383 175 Emerson College/Loras College
New Mexico 5 41 33 3 8 10/18/16 363 180 Wash Post/Survey Monkey
Minnesota 10 47 39 7 8 10/24/16 358 190 Minneapolis Star Tribune
New Hampshire 4 46 39 8 7 3.90% 10/30/16 348 194 Granite State poll
Oregon 7 41 34 25 7 11/01/16 344 201 DHM Research
Michigan 16 50 43 2 7 11/01/16 337 217 Mitchell Research
Wisconsin 10 46 40 14 6 na 11/02/16 321 227 Remington Research
Virginia 13 44 39 10 5 3.60% 11/02/16 311 240 Winthrop University
Maine 3 44 39.5 7 4.5 11/01/16 298 243 Emerson College/MPRC
Pennsylvania 20 48 44.3 7.7 3.7 4.07% 11/02/16 295 263 CNN/ORC, Monmouth, Susquehanna
Colorado 9 44 41 3 3 3.50% 11/02/16 275 272 Emerson College
Florida 29 49 47 0 2 3.50% 11/02/16 266 301 CNN/ORC
Maine 2nd Dist 1 43.5 42.5 17 1 3.45% 11/01/16 237 302 Emerson College/MPRC
Alaska 3 47 43 17 0 10/26/16 236 305 Cracium Research
Iowa 6 44 44 7 0 10/27/16 233 311 Quinnipiac
Mississippi 6 43 46 5 -3 09/16/16 227 317 Wash Post/Survey Monkey
North Carolina 15 43 46.5 7.5 -3.5 11/01/16 221 332 Elon University/SurveyUSA
South Carolina 9 38 42 11 -4 09/29/16 206 341 Winthrop University
Arizona 11 43.5 48 3.5 -4.5 3.55% 11/02/16 197 352 CNN/ORC, Emerson
Ohio 18 43 48 6 -5 10/31/16 186 370 Remington Research
Nevada 6 43 49 1 -6 3.50% 11/02/16 168 376 CNN/ORC
Utah 6 24 32 9 -8 10/30/16 162 382 Dan Jones & Assoc.
Georgia 16 42 51 2 -9 3.80% 11/02/16 156 398 Emerson College
North Dakota 3 32 43 16 -11 09/20/16 140 401 DFM Research
Kansas 6 36 47 8 -11 10/17/16 137 407 SurveyUSA
Indiana 11 39 50 7 -11 10/31/16 131 418 Monmouth University
Arkansas 6 39.5 51 5.5 -11.5 10/24/16 120 424 avg Hendrick & Remington
Tennessee 11 34.5 46 13 -11.5 10/04/16 114 435 MTSU/Vanderbilt
Texas 38 39 52 4 -13 11/01/16 103 473 Dixie Strategies
South Dakota 3 35 49 9 -14 11/01/16 65 476 Nielson Brothers
Louisiana 8 35 49 7 -14 10/28/16 62 484 University of New Orleans
Missouri 10 37 52 4 -15 3.80% 11/02/16 54 494 Emerson College
Montana 3 27 43 21 -16 10/25/16 44 497 Montana State U
Kentucky 8 37 54 7 -17 11/01/16 41 505 Western Kentucky U
Idaho 4 29 48 7 -19 10/27/16 33 509 Rasmussen
Alabama 9 31 53 6 -22 09/06/16 29 518 Wash Post/Survey Monkey
West Virginia 5 27 52 5 -25 09/06/16 20 523 Wash Post/Survey Monkey
Nebraska 5 29 56 7 -27 09/28/16 15 528 Emerson College
Oklahoma 7 30 60 5 -30 10/23/16 10 535 Sooner Poll
Wyoming 3 19 54 15 -35 09/21/16 3 538 DFM Research
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