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The 3 states Trump needs to win that he's not leading in.

Posted on: November 2, 2016 at 13:56:50 CT
JeffB MU
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per www.270towin.com most recent polls

He would need to win Iowa (tied), Florida +2 Hillary & Colorado + 3 Hillary. Alternatively, he could lose Iowa but win Alaska (also tied) OR Maine 2nd District (+1 Hillary) to win it all.

Pennsylvania is also in play with a +3.7% Hillary lean (composite avg. of 3 polls) and a Margin of Error of 4.07% avg.

                #	%	%	%     % lean			       Trump  Hillary	
State	        EV   Hillary  Trump   0ther   Hillary 	MoE	date	         EV	EV	poll
DC *           	3	90	10		80		09/06/16	538	3	n/a
Maryland	10	63	27	4	36		10/06/16	535	13	Wash Post/U of Maryland
Massachusetts	11	57	25	11	32		10/27/16	525	24	Suffolk University
Vermont      	3	50	22	16	28		10/27/16	514	27	WCAX
Hawaii    	4	51	25	10	26		09/06/16	511	31	Wash Post/Survey Monkey
New York	29	54	30	7	24		10/19/16	507	60	Siena College
Delaware	3	51	30	10	21		10/03/16	478	63	Univ Delaware
California	55	56	35	8	21		11/01/16	475	118	SurveyUSA
Rhode Island	4	52	32	6	20		10/06/16	420	122	Emerson College
Washington	12	48	31	19	17		10/24/16	416	134	Elway Poll
Connecticut	7	50	35	2	15		09/07/16	404	141	Emerson College
New Jersey	14	51	40	9	11		10/18/16	397	155	Fairleigh Dickenson
Illinois	20	49	37.5	8.5	8.4		11/01/16	383	175	Emerson College/Loras College
New Mexico	5	41	33	3	8		10/18/16	363	180	Wash Post/Survey Monkey
Minnesota	10	47	39	7	8		10/24/16	358	190	Minneapolis Star Tribune
New Hampshire	4	46	39	8	7	3.90%	10/30/16	348	194	Granite State poll
Oregon       	7	41	34	25	7		11/01/16	344	201	DHM Research
Michigan	16	50	43	2	7		11/01/16	337	217	Mitchell Research
Wisconsin	10	46	40	14	6	na	11/02/16	321	227	Remington Research
Virginia	13	44	39	10	5	3.60%	11/02/16	311	240	Winthrop University
Maine        	3	44	39.5	7	4.5		11/01/16	298	243	Emerson College/MPRC
Pennsylvania	20	48	44.3	7.7	3.7	4.07%	11/02/16	295	263	CNN/ORC, Monmouth, Susquehanna
Colorado	9	44	41	3	3	3.50%	11/02/16	275	272	Emerson College
Florida       	29	49	47	0	2	3.50%	11/02/16	266	301	CNN/ORC
Maine 2nd Dist	1	43.5	42.5	17	1	3.45%	11/01/16	237	302	Emerson College/MPRC
Alaska       	3	47	43	17	0		10/26/16	236	305	Cracium Research
Iowa       	6	44	44	7	0		10/27/16	233	311	Quinnipiac
Mississippi	6	43	46	5	-3		09/16/16	227	317	Wash Post/Survey Monkey
North Carolina	15	43	46.5	7.5	-3.5		11/01/16	221	332	Elon University/SurveyUSA
South Carolina	9	38	42	11	-4		09/29/16	206	341	Winthrop University
Arizona       	11	43.5	48	3.5	-4.5	3.55%	11/02/16	197	352	CNN/ORC, Emerson
Ohio      	18	43	48	6	-5		10/31/16	186	370	Remington Research
Nevada       	6	43	49	1	-6	3.50%	11/02/16	168	376	CNN/ORC
Utah      	6	24	32	9	-8		10/30/16	162	382	Dan Jones & Assoc.
Georgia        	16	42	51	2	-9	3.80%	11/02/16	156	398	Emerson College
North Dakota	3	32	43	16	-11		09/20/16	140	401	DFM Research
Kansas      	6	36	47	8	-11		10/17/16	137	407	SurveyUSA
Indiana       	11	39	50	7	-11		10/31/16	131	418	Monmouth University
Arkansas	6	39.5	51	5.5	-11.5		10/24/16	120	424	avg Hendrick & Remington
Tennessee	11	34.5	46	13	-11.5		10/04/16	114	435	MTSU/Vanderbilt
Texas      	38	39	52	4	-13		11/01/16	103	473	Dixie Strategies
South Dakota	3	35	49	9	-14		11/01/16	65	476	Nielson Brothers
Louisiana	8	35	49	7	-14		10/28/16	62	484	University of New Orleans
Missouri	10	37	52	4	-15	3.80%	11/02/16	54	494	Emerson College
Montana        	3	27	43	21	-16		10/25/16	44	497	Montana State U
Kentucky	8	37	54	7	-17		11/01/16	41	505	Western Kentucky U
Idaho      	4	29	48	7	-19		10/27/16	33	509	Rasmussen
Alabama      	9	31	53	6	-22		09/06/16	29	518	Wash Post/Survey Monkey
West Virginia	5	27	52	5	-25		09/06/16	20	523	Wash Post/Survey Monkey
Nebraska	5	29	56	7	-27		09/28/16	15	528	Emerson College
Oklahoma	7	30	60	5	-30		10/23/16	10	535	Sooner Poll
Wyoming      	3	19	54	15	-35		09/21/16	3	538	DFM Research




Edited by JeffB at 14:21:35 on 11/02/16
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The 3 states Trump needs to win that he's not leading in. - JeffB MU - 11/2 13:56:50
     Hillary will win N C Florida and Ohio - tigerden MU - 11/2 15:57:32
          Wishful thinking? That's not what the polls are saying. - JeffB MU - 11/2 16:35:08
     99% of alaska's vote is controlled by hacked - SuperTone MU - 11/2 14:00:01
          Must be those Lizard people again..nm - Webbster MU - 11/2 14:08:08
          LMAO no(nm) - Scipio Da Manus MU - 11/2 14:04:48
               sorry, been proven and documented... - SuperTone MU - 11/2 14:05:39
                    kind of like you posts...nm - Webbster MU - 11/2 14:08:52
          Link? Alaska could be, but probably won't be the deciding - JeffB MU - 11/2 14:02:54
               RE: Link? Alaska could be, but probably won't be the deciding - SuperTone MU - 11/2 14:04:04
                    Thanks. The states ought to be able to check the source code - JeffB MU - 11/2 14:32:05
                         and the code is already there from the factory... - SuperTone MU - 11/2 15:02:31
                              Are those the machines owned by Soros' company? (nm) - JeffB MU - 11/2 15:05:26
                         the ballot photos are required by law to be kept - SuperTone MU - 11/2 15:02:01
                              I was talking about the computer programming code, but - JeffB MU - 11/2 15:07:12
     Guy is going to throw 3-4 Hail Maries down the field - raskolnikov MU - 11/2 13:59:37
          Unless the voting machines are rigged I don't see why you - JeffB MU - 11/2 14:07:16
               Polls by now have taken into account the FBI, much - raskolnikov MU - 11/2 14:35:04
                    Again you are ignoring the most recent polls... - JeffB MU - 11/2 15:03:58
                    If you click the links and look at the methodology you - JeffB MU - 11/2 15:01:25
               False...Trump would need to win EVERY battleground - Mutiger MU - 11/2 14:14:47
                    He needs a sweep and a steal - raskolnikov MU - 11/2 14:37:37
                         Why do you ignore the polls? Do you think they are - JeffB MU - 11/2 14:41:21
                              That is because Clinton is winning the Battleground polls - Mutiger MU - 11/2 15:28:43
                                   These are not made up polls. They are also not the - JeffB MU - 11/2 16:57:38
                              he loves polls until they say something other than what - 90Tiger MU - 11/2 14:58:41
                                   That certainly seems to be the case. The polls have clearly - JeffB MU - 11/2 15:10:43
                    Look at the table in the OP of the most recent polls sorted - JeffB MU - 11/2 14:27:35




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