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Not if we were #5

Posted on: February 3, 2025 at 13:55:50 CT
haeffb MU
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To be precise, your rating depends on how you do versus expected outcome.

If you exceed the expectation, your rating gets better.

If you fail to meet expectation, your rating gets worse.

If you’re expected to beat Auburn by 1 and you win by 1, your rating won’t change even if Auburn is a great team.

If you’re expected to beat Miss Valley State by 70 and you beat them by 70, your rating won’t change even if you played a poor team.

Who you played didn’t matter, it’s whether or not you met expectations against them.

If you’re expected to lose to Auburn by 10 and win by 10, you’ve greatly exceeded the expectation. If you’re expected do beat Miss Valley State by 50 and you win by 60, you’ve somewhat exceeded expectation.

Who you played didn’t matter, it’s whether or not you met expectations against them.
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MESSAGE THREAD

How the **** are we only #23 on Kenpom - Delicious MU - 2/2 19:08:57
     KU is 10th on Kenpom and they are 6th in the Big 12. - Your Daddy MU - 2/3 09:39:25
     This thread is amazing (nm) - wu-tangtiger MU - 2/2 21:23:37
          WAWWA - Ragarm MU - 2/3 08:08:19
     SoS 78 spots higher. SoS matters, especially with computers - alwaysright MU - 2/2 20:55:42
          SOS does not matter in Kenpom ratings. - haeffb MU - 2/3 06:41:40
               So the ratings are adjusted for schedule and schedule - alwaysright MU - 2/3 07:41:33
                    Not directly adjusted for schedule. - haeffb MU - 2/3 08:39:34
                         alwaysright is correct, you're making a distinction without - zounami MU - 2/3 10:57:24
                              Nope. - haeffb MU - 2/3 12:38:56
                                   because we beat them by 72 points... if we had beaten Duke - zounami MU - 2/3 12:58:20
                                        Not if we were #5 - haeffb MU - 2/3 13:55:50
                                             but whether or not you meet the model's expectation for - zounami MU - 2/3 16:27:56
                                                  You’re so close to actually understanding this. - haeffb MU - 2/3 17:17:08
                                        I hate to break it to you but - wu-tangtiger MU - 2/3 13:03:44
                                             right, it was a hypothetical (nm) - zounami MU - 2/3 13:16:24
                    yes, that's what he said(nm) - MizzouAstro MU - 2/3 07:43:09
     ku has a tougher schedule, they got to face - FIJItiger MU - 2/2 20:28:21
          Man that's funny(nm) - oldtgr MU - 2/2 21:11:31
          lol (nm) - zounami MU - 2/2 20:38:15
     who cares? (nm) - TigerA MU - 2/2 19:59:30
          Agree just win baby - Genco98 MU - 2/3 08:23:38
     RE: How the **** are we only #23 on Kenpom - 90Tiger STL - 2/2 19:53:20
     A human creates the program model - DevilsAdvocate KC - 2/2 19:10:25




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