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RE: Just read a great quote about media polls
Posted on: November 3, 2024 at 13:58:39 CT
90Tiger STL
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https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/why-election-polling-has-become-less-reliable/
In the golden age of random sampling, polling “was based on a scientific method, with a defined procedure that would produce a defined probabilistic outcome,” Bailey says. Whereas “now you just have to throw modeling decision after modeling decision” at raw polling data and hope your assumptions hold true.
The assumptions in these models could easily be wrong
Edited by 90Tiger at 13:59:30 on 11/03/24
In the golden age of random sampling, polling “was based on a scientific method, with a defined procedure that would produce a defined probabilistic outcome,” Bailey says. Whereas “now you just have to throw modeling decision after modeling decision” at raw polling data and hope your assumptions hold true.
The assumptions in these models could easily be wrong
Edited by 90Tiger at 13:59:30 on 11/03/24
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RE: Just read a great quote about media polls - 90Tiger STL - 11/3 13:58:39