Infection Fatality Rate is much higher also.
For instance, New York released their antibodies test results on Thursday & estimated that up to 21% of New York City residents had tested positive, and 13.9% overall throughout the state.
https://www.newsweek.com/test-shows-21-percent-new-york-city-residents-who-gave-samples-have-coronavirus-antibodies-1499878
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/23/nyregion/coronavirus-antibodies-test-ny.html
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/23/nyregion/coronavirus-new-york-update.html
Per Worldometer, New York has 22,275 deaths so far as of today.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/
New York State has a population of 19,453,561. If we round up the predicted infection rate for the state to 14% we end up with 2,723,499. If we round that up to an even 3 million people in the state infected we end up with an infection fatality rate of 0.74%
Even if we assumed the ENTIRE NY population was infected the infection fatality rate would be 0.1145%, which is, of course, FAR higher than that of the flu.
San Marino, a small country in Northern Italy has a death rate a little over .12% even if one assumes every single person in the country was infected. They only have a population of 33,931, but their medical system is ranked in the top three in Europe per Wikipedia.
The Diamond Princess had all of the crew and all of the passengers checked every day and 13 have died so far out of 712 who tested positive. That would equate to a 1.826% fatality rate and assumes that none of the 54 still active cases, 4 of whom are still listed as serious/critical pass away. Even if we assume that the tests were all wrong and every single person on the ship, passengers and crew (3,700 total) was infected, the fatality rate would be a little over .35%... again far higher than the .0013% of the flu.
Edited by JeffB at 23:30:57 on 04/26/20