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I use 538... in 2016 they had trump at like 33%

Posted on: April 26, 2020 at 12:19:35 CT
Da_Haze KC
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He actually had a larger chance on winning than Romney did against Obama.

So if you held 100 elections Trump would have won roughly a third of them.

I wasn't shocked when Trump won. I live in Missouri ffs, I considered us a bellwether state. Anyone who thought Killary had a 90% chance of winning was a ****ing idiot. The hate for that woman is palpable.

Edited by Da_Haze at 12:20:44 on 04/26/20
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Everybody LOL at MrBlueSky. - dangertim MU - 4/26 09:41:23
     Everyday MrBlueSky is a tard(nm) - TigerFan92 MU - 4/26 10:40:04
     thanks for doing the legwork tim - SwampTiger MU - 4/26 10:03:48
     Very good. So more than 1/5 deaths - MrBlueSky MU - 4/26 10:03:23
          40k out of 300 million doesn't justify shut down. - RHAYWORTH MU - 4/26 11:12:20
               you have no right to affect anyone else’s health - pickle MU - 4/26 11:26:04
               Glad to see you've changed your views on this, Rhay. Do we - 90Tiger STL - 4/26 11:24:38
                    No, going out when u know u got it, wrong. - RHAYWORTH MU - 4/26 11:32:49
                         Y'all seem to be forgetting that the majority of americans - Da_Haze KC - 4/26 11:54:22
                              The issue isn't about forcing people to work. It is forcing - JeffB MU - 4/26 16:10:04
                              you know that from a 1600 person poll? lmfao (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 4/26 12:09:04
                                   If you poll 1600 people your margin of error is 2.5% - Da_Haze KC - 4/26 12:14:03
                                        wow - pickle MU - 4/26 12:18:09
                                             A 2.5% margin of error... at 60%. Yeah that's accurate. - Da_Haze KC - 4/26 12:25:11
                                                  i couldn’t care less - pickle MU - 4/26 12:29:27
                                                  lmfao! (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 4/26 12:28:50
                                             what does it tell you about his science if he's using that a - 90Tiger STL - 4/26 12:20:50
                                        that's on you then. guess you missed 2016 and every other - 90Tiger STL - 4/26 12:15:19
                                             I use 538... in 2016 they had trump at like 33% - Da_Haze KC - 4/26 12:19:35
                              for one, no one can possibly know that - pickle MU - 4/26 11:56:36
                                   60% of Americans agree with the lockdowns - Da_Haze KC - 4/26 12:10:38
                                        removing the force of closing isn't forcing them to open. Go - 90Tiger STL - 4/26 12:15:50
                                        no they don’t. - pickle MU - 4/26 12:13:08
                                             Can they get insurance money if the state says - Da_Haze KC - 4/26 12:16:08
                                                  1600 people. lmfao (nm) - pickle MU - 4/26 12:17:35
                                                       2.5% margin of error - Da_Haze KC - 4/26 12:26:30
                                                            i couldn’t care less (nm) - pickle MU - 4/26 12:27:15
                                                                 As they say, you can't teach an old dog new tricks - Da_Haze KC - 4/26 12:38:35
                                                                      RE: As they say, you can't teach an old dog new tricks - pickle MU - 4/26 13:10:44
                         have you ever gone to school, work, or a store while sick? (nm) - pickle MU - 4/26 11:37:02
                              Or a doctor's office. (nm) - ummmm MU - 4/26 11:37:48
                                   yep. or drugstore (nm) - pickle MU - 4/26 11:51:10
                         Still clinging to the revised version, gaslighting approach - 90Tiger STL - 4/26 11:36:27
                              he’s incapable (nm) - pickle MU - 4/26 11:37:22
                         Dance away (nm) - ashtray UF - 4/26 11:34:40
               YOU DON'T HAVE THE RIGHT TO INFECT OTHERS! - ashtray UF - 4/26 11:20:04
                    What does that have to do with infringing on the rights of - MizzouTigerz MU - 4/26 11:49:39
                         Ask the pedo (nm) - ashtray UF - 4/26 14:48:12
          I don't know any person who has suggested that it is - ummmm MU - 4/26 10:27:28
               it's just like Tigrrr! and M stating we're saying old people - 90Tiger STL - 4/26 10:32:18
                    It's the dismissive attitude of El Diarrhea regarding the - Tigrrrr! MU - 4/26 10:51:39
                         Nobody's being dismissive about the deaths. They're - 90Tiger STL - 4/26 11:03:07
                         oh, so now you’ve waffled again? - pickle MU - 4/26 10:57:35
                              Oh pickle..... - Tigrrrr! MU - 4/26 11:12:05
                         The dismissiveness is directed at the media created message - ummmm MU - 4/26 10:55:20
                    Saying liberals want to tank the economy is even more - SparkyStalcup MU - 4/26 10:36:31
                         The more appropriate statement would be that liberals - ummmm MU - 4/26 10:38:03
                              It would be inaccurate. The more appropriate statement - SparkyStalcup MU - 4/26 10:40:02
                                   I think you just proved his point. (nm) - Newcatbirdseat MU - 4/26 10:42:48
                                        That is a non sequitur. Your statement does not follow - SparkyStalcup MU - 4/26 10:49:00
                                             lmao yes it does (nm) - pickle MU - 4/26 10:55:22
                                                  No, it doesn't. But it fits your beliefs... - SparkyStalcup MU - 4/26 10:58:59
                                                       it wasn’t even close to a non sequitur - pickle MU - 4/26 11:03:13
                                             Lol. Sometimes I think you just spin a wheel of - ummmm MU - 4/26 10:50:43
                                             yeah, it really does, you just didn't pick up on it (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 4/26 10:49:57
                                   lmfao, what does this have to do with "Austrian economics"? - 90Tiger STL - 4/26 10:41:29
                                   Austrian economics is nothing but explanatory principles - ummmm MU - 4/26 10:40:59
                                        Except they dont really explain anything in the economy - SparkyStalcup MU - 4/26 10:53:57
                                             Oh no, you can try and prove them wrong by demonstrating - ummmm MU - 4/26 10:57:18
                                                  Who brainwashed you and pickle to worship Mises? I thought - SparkyStalcup MU - 4/26 11:00:33
                                                       Autodidactism. Brainwashing is what occurred through - ummmm MU - 4/26 11:01:53
                                                            Interesting you use that term, but you blindly follow - SparkyStalcup MU - 4/26 11:03:30
                                                                 lol always emotional - pickle MU - 4/26 11:05:46
                                                                 I don't blindly follow it. The body of thought makes - ummmm MU - 4/26 11:05:23
                                                                      Apparently any other school of thought is a cult. Sounds li - 90Tiger STL - 4/26 11:06:41
                                                                           Yeah, definitely. - ummmm MU - 4/26 11:11:10
                                                                                Happens every day. He also Appealed to Authority impllicit - 90Tiger STL - 4/26 11:20:50
                                                                 lmfao (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 4/26 11:04:21
                                             it’s descriptive, not predictive - pickle MU - 4/26 10:55:00
                         I've never said it. I would say they are not valuing the - 90Tiger STL - 4/26 10:37:32
               this is becoming the straw man du jour (nm) - pickle MU - 4/26 10:28:25
                    It has been suggested here that it is mostly old people - SparkyStalcup MU - 4/26 10:34:02
                         no it hasn’t (nm) - pickle MU - 4/26 10:37:10
                              I never thought of you as a liar, just an arsehole that - SparkyStalcup MU - 4/26 10:46:35
                                   i don’t care what you think - pickle MU - 4/26 10:56:40
                                        Obviously I dont care what most anyone thinks on this - SparkyStalcup MU - 4/26 11:02:03
                                             Clearly. (nm) - ummmm MU - 4/26 11:14:04
                         That is true. But also a completely different statement - ummmm MU - 4/26 10:35:31
                              Not completely. There is a distinction, but the term nursing - SparkyStalcup MU - 4/26 10:37:56
                                   and you're still not addressing, let alone acknowledging tha - 90Tiger STL - 4/26 10:40:36
                                        Yes, being asthmatic and diabetic place a person in - SparkyStalcup MU - 4/26 10:43:29
                                             here's one from the thread directly below this one from El - 90Tiger STL - 4/26 11:05:25
                                             you're missing a ton of the conversation by choice - to whit - 90Tiger STL - 4/26 10:47:34
                                             No, they're definitely not. If you paid attention, the - ummmm MU - 4/26 10:45:01
                                                  willful ignorance, plain and simple, to continue the straw m - 90Tiger STL - 4/26 10:48:13
                                   Yes, but no one has said "only old people are dying of this" - ummmm MU - 4/26 10:39:07
                                        Of course not. That statement would be stupid, especially - SparkyStalcup MU - 4/26 10:44:32
                                             Which statement would be stupid? - ummmm MU - 4/26 10:46:04
                                                  1 is definitely stupid. 2 might be stupid or at least - SparkyStalcup MU - 4/26 10:55:48
                                                       No one has said 1. Let's use 70 and over for 2. (nm) - ummmm MU - 4/26 10:59:27
                                                            I think he went to the gym to shoot baskets with GAT (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 4/26 11:25:07
                              correct, or "you don't care about old people dying" because - 90Tiger STL - 4/26 10:36:12
                         It is mostly old people and the comorbid dying - 90Tiger STL - 4/26 10:34:38
          the major point you and da haze are simply refusing to accep - 90Tiger STL - 4/26 10:17:06
          It's nursing home patients and people who really needed - Newcatbirdseat MU - 4/26 10:11:12
     Ha! Headline suckers are lacking intelligence. Nm - yy4u MU - 4/26 09:45:37
     he’s really dumb, low information - pickle MU - 4/26 09:43:34
          he's incapable of independent, analytical thought. the perfe - 90Tiger STL - 4/26 09:54:10
               this would actually be a great learning opportunity for him - SwampTiger MU - 4/26 09:59:13
          RE: he’s really dumb, low information - yy4u MU - 4/26 09:47:24
               does he? - pickle MU - 4/26 10:00:01




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