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Pork (and food) ...not Trump will end the tariff war

Posted on: July 11, 2019 at 08:16:23 CT
meatiger MU
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The Chinese love pork...so much that they raise and consume half of the world's pork. Many Chinese eat some sort of pork every day...Also...so much that the world's number one choice of meat is pork.

A devastating disease (African Swine Fever - ASF) hit them last year.

They have now lost at least half of their pig inventory due to poor biosecurity practices and a horrible response to the disease. It will take years (if ever to recover). with 25% of global pork production gone, there will be pork shortages. Guess who has the most surplus pork in the world....USA. Right now, there is a 62% tariff on pork going to China. with prices already high, that makes pork from USA very expensive. Right now, they are getting pork from other parts of the world, but as their frozen inventories decline, they will need USA sourced pork, and it will have to be cheap. They will have food inflation in China. It is almost approaching 7% this year, and it is just getting started. Food inflation/security is one of the main reasons governments get overthrown...see parts of Middle East/Africa not many years ago.


I think we will see some sort of deal in the next 6 months, with this being one of the background reasons, but both sides will claim some sort of credit for it.
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Pork (and food) ...not Trump will end the tariff war - meatiger MU - 7/11 08:16:23
     Chinese companies, & by extension the Chinese - justwinbaby KC - 7/11 08:50:42
     Shouldn't there be two "t's" in MEAT Tiger?(nm) - Mormad MU - 7/11 08:19:45
          I think he's saying..me a tiger. - GA Tiger MU - 7/11 08:44:03
               LOL - meatiger MU - 7/11 09:01:33
                    We lurk everywhere. No one is safe.(nm) - GA Tiger MU - 7/11 09:15:37
               So he's Chinese? This is sort of a Dan Gertim mystery(nm) - Mormad MU - 7/11 08:46:54
                    Dang Ertim(nm) - cnk ATL - 7/11 09:02:23
                         If he goes urban, it could be Da Nger Tim(nm) - Mormad MU - 7/11 09:16:23
                              RE: If he goes urban, it could be Da Nger Tim(nm) - cnk ATL - 7/11 09:19:56
     Well, you just admitted the tariffs will work - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 7/11 08:19:29
          sounds more like a case of a disease working... - tigerdb MU - 7/11 09:18:30
          They do work - El-ahrairah BAMA - 7/11 08:21:00
               They are best removed - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 7/11 08:27:33
                    There is no defense of tariffs at all (nm) - pickle MU - 7/11 08:48:21
                    The tariffs had been going down over time - meatiger MU - 7/11 08:39:58
                    "we" got burned in the fire as much as "them"(nm) - gmmm98 MU - 7/11 08:37:09
                         Our economy is very strong. There's is not. (nm) - TheWildcat STL - 7/11 08:40:00
                              you are on the wrong side here (nm) - pickle MU - 7/11 08:51:30
                                   I may like a lot of your ideas but they have no practicality - TheWildcat STL - 7/11 08:56:15
                                        tariffs ultimately increase costs for you and me - pickle MU - 7/11 09:09:15
                                             The inflation rate is 1.79%. Below historical avrage. (nm) - TheWildcat STL - 7/11 09:10:32
                                                  RE: The inflation rate is 1.79%. Below historical avrage. (nm) - pickle MU - 7/11 09:18:31
                              Our own time is coming - meatiger MU - 7/11 08:49:27
                                   Probably but I'll be dead. No politician is ever going to - TheWildcat STL - 7/11 08:50:50
                                        And that is where China is now - meatiger MU - 7/11 08:52:12
                              "Theirs"(nm) - Toger STL - 7/11 08:48:57
                                   You right, dawg (nm) - TheWildcat STL - 7/11 08:49:59
                              strength is relying on an african livestock crisis - gmmm98 MU - 7/11 08:48:15
                              Bingo. They will blink(nm) - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 7/11 08:43:03
          LOL...no(nm) - meatiger MU - 7/11 08:20:39
               So if there was no tariff on pork - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 7/11 08:28:17
                    There was minimal tariff on pork - meatiger MU - 7/11 08:33:10
                         So are the tariffs driving China to the table or not? - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 7/11 08:35:45
                              They have always been at the table - meatiger MU - 7/11 08:38:15
                                   So you like to negotiate with hugs - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 7/11 08:42:20
                                        I never said that - meatiger MU - 7/11 08:45:04
                                             Lower tariffs has not worked. What would change now? - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 7/11 08:48:11
                                                  What is your definition of "not worked" - meatiger MU - 7/11 08:51:24
                                                       How in the world do you think negotiating - mizzouSECedes STL - 7/11 09:25:05
                                                            this is a really dumb argument - pickle MU - 7/11 09:41:47
                                                                 Normally yes - mizzouSECedes STL - 7/11 09:49:14
                                                                      it just got dumber (nm) - pickle MU - 7/11 09:59:17
                                                                 3 lefts do, however(nm) - Mormad MU - 7/11 09:42:52
                                                       No. It was not getting better - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 7/11 09:12:29
                                        Pretty much the policy over the last few decades. - TheWildcat STL - 7/11 08:43:06
                    We don’t need a trade deal - El-ahrairah BAMA - 7/11 08:32:41
     I eat pork every single day too - El-ahrairah BAMA - 7/11 08:19:10
          Keep on eating - meatiger MU - 7/11 08:22:44




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