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"Trump has 2% chance of winning GOP nomination"

Posted on: October 24, 2018 at 13:26:49 CT
North co-co champs MU
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August 5th podcast

Nate Silver predicted that Donald Trump had a 2 percent chance of winning the nomination. Katherine Miller of Buzzfeed put it at 0 percent. And FiveThirtyEight’s Harry Enten? Negative 10 percent.


https://paleofuture.gizmodo.com/nate-silvers-very-very-wrong-predictions-about-donald-t-1788583912
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Nate Silver predicts 16 House pickups for Dems - MrBlueSky MU - 10/24 13:17:46
     Didn't he predict yesterday 85% chance Dems take the house? - Calca STL - 10/24 14:36:42
     RE: Nate Silver predicts 16 House pickups for Dems - MOCO SON MU - 10/24 13:57:05
          That was his model. - MrBlueSky MU - 10/24 13:59:00
               RE: That was his model. - MOCO SON MU - 10/24 14:02:26
     But I thought he said the dems had a 86% chance of taking - tigerNkc UMKC - 10/24 13:36:09
          RE: But I thought he said the dems had a 86% chance of taking - MOCO SON MU - 10/24 14:10:30
     3 in the Senate sounds about right.. could be 4 if Donnelly - Spanky KU - 10/24 13:23:32
     If his predictions are anything like 2016 - Uncle Fester USMC - 10/24 13:20:57
     7 > just short(nm) - tmcats KSU - 10/24 13:20:08
          Okay, significantly short. (nm) - MrBlueSky MU - 10/24 13:22:00
     My dog has a prediction too... he's outside taking it - North co-co champs MU - 10/24 13:20:01
          538 gave Trump the best chance of any of the - MrBlueSky MU - 10/24 13:21:15
               There's quite a few posters here - DC Jayhawk KU - 10/24 15:29:02
               The fact you still think he has credibility is proof of your - North co-co champs MU - 10/24 13:32:33
               what is the last thing you got right? (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 10/24 13:29:12
               "Donald Trump Is The World’s Greatest Troll" - North co-co champs MU - 10/24 13:27:05
                    "Why Donald Trump Isn’t a Real Candidate, In One Chart" - North co-co champs MU - 10/24 13:27:22
                         "Clinton (prediction) Validated By Evidence" - North co-co champs MU - 10/24 13:28:46
               "Trump has 2% chance of winning GOP nomination" - North co-co champs MU - 10/24 13:26:49
               "Trump Is Winning the Polls—And Losing the Nomination" - North co-co champs MU - 10/24 13:25:58
                    All of these were during the nomination...(nm) - MrBlueSky MU - 10/24 13:26:51
                         Silver was never close to right - FootballRefugee MU - 10/24 13:52:19
                         "Clinton up to 88% chance of victory" - 3 weeks before vote - North co-co champs MU - 10/24 13:30:18
               "Was the 2nd Debate The Beginning of the End For Trump?" - North co-co champs MU - 10/24 13:25:37
               "GOP Don’t Like Donald Trump As Much As They Used To" - North co-co champs MU - 10/24 13:25:03
               "Dear Media, Stop Freaking Out About Donald Trump’s Polls" - North co-co champs MU - 10/24 13:24:20
               totally incorrect - FootballRefugee MU - 10/24 13:23:38
               Wrong, I think the LA Times and Rasmussen were both more - Uncle Fester USMC - 10/24 13:22:10




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