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"Trump Is Winning the Polls—And Losing the Nomination"

Posted on: October 24, 2018 at 13:25:58 CT
North co-co champs MU
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Donald Trump Is Winning the Polls—And Losing the Nomination
August 11, 2015

At FiveThirtyEight, however, we’re fairly agnostic about what will happen to Trump’s polling in the near term. It’s possible that he’s already peaked — or that he’ll hold his support all the way through Iowa and New Hampshire, possibly even winning one or two early states, as similar candidates like Pat Buchanan and Newt Gingrich have in the past. Our emphatic prediction is simply that Trump will not win the nomination. It’s not even clear that he’s trying to do so.
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Nate Silver predicts 16 House pickups for Dems - MrBlueSky MU - 10/24 13:17:46
     RE: Nate Silver predicts 16 House pickups for Dems - MOCO SON MU - 10/24 13:57:05
          That was his model. - MrBlueSky MU - 10/24 13:59:00
               RE: That was his model. - MOCO SON MU - 10/24 14:02:26
     But I thought he said the dems had a 86% chance of taking - tigerNkc UMKC - 10/24 13:36:09
          RE: But I thought he said the dems had a 86% chance of taking - MOCO SON MU - 10/24 14:10:30
     If his predictions are anything like 2016 - Uncle Fester USMC - 10/24 13:20:57
     7 > just short(nm) - tmcats KSU - 10/24 13:20:08
          Okay, significantly short. (nm) - MrBlueSky MU - 10/24 13:22:00
     My dog has a prediction too... he's outside taking it - North co-co champs MU - 10/24 13:20:01
          538 gave Trump the best chance of any of the - MrBlueSky MU - 10/24 13:21:15
               There's quite a few posters here - DC Jayhawk KU - 10/24 15:29:02
               The fact you still think he has credibility is proof of your - North co-co champs MU - 10/24 13:32:33
               what is the last thing you got right? (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 10/24 13:29:12
               "Donald Trump Is The World’s Greatest Troll" - North co-co champs MU - 10/24 13:27:05
                    "Why Donald Trump Isn’t a Real Candidate, In One Chart" - North co-co champs MU - 10/24 13:27:22
                         "Clinton (prediction) Validated By Evidence" - North co-co champs MU - 10/24 13:28:46
               "Trump has 2% chance of winning GOP nomination" - North co-co champs MU - 10/24 13:26:49
               "Trump Is Winning the Polls—And Losing the Nomination" - North co-co champs MU - 10/24 13:25:58
                    All of these were during the nomination...(nm) - MrBlueSky MU - 10/24 13:26:51
                         Silver was never close to right - FootballRefugee MU - 10/24 13:52:19
                         "Clinton up to 88% chance of victory" - 3 weeks before vote - North co-co champs MU - 10/24 13:30:18
               "Was the 2nd Debate The Beginning of the End For Trump?" - North co-co champs MU - 10/24 13:25:37
               "GOP Don’t Like Donald Trump As Much As They Used To" - North co-co champs MU - 10/24 13:25:03
               "Dear Media, Stop Freaking Out About Donald Trump’s Polls" - North co-co champs MU - 10/24 13:24:20
               totally incorrect - FootballRefugee MU - 10/24 13:23:38
               Wrong, I think the LA Times and Rasmussen were both more - Uncle Fester USMC - 10/24 13:22:10




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