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"Dear Media, Stop Freaking Out About Donald Trump’s Polls"
Posted on: October 24, 2018 at 13:24:20 CT
North co-co champs MU
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Dear Media, Stop Freaking Out About Donald Trump’s Polls
November 23, 2015
So, could Trump win? We confront two stubborn facts: first, that nobody remotely like Trump has won a major-party nomination in the modern era. And second, as is always a problem in analysis of presidential campaigns, we don’t have all that many data points, so unprecedented events can occur with some regularity. For my money, that adds up to Trump’s chances being higher than 0 but (considerably) less than 20 percent. Your mileage may vary. But you probably shouldn’t rely solely on the polls to make your case; it’s still too soon for that.
November 23, 2015
So, could Trump win? We confront two stubborn facts: first, that nobody remotely like Trump has won a major-party nomination in the modern era. And second, as is always a problem in analysis of presidential campaigns, we don’t have all that many data points, so unprecedented events can occur with some regularity. For my money, that adds up to Trump’s chances being higher than 0 but (considerably) less than 20 percent. Your mileage may vary. But you probably shouldn’t rely solely on the polls to make your case; it’s still too soon for that.
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The fact you still think he has credibility is proof of your - North co-co champs MU - 10/24 13:32:33
- "Clinton up to 88% chance of victory" - 3 weeks before vote - North co-co champs MU - 10/24 13:30:18"Dear Media, Stop Freaking Out About Donald Trump’s Polls" - North co-co champs MU - 10/24 13:24:20