We could have some bad luck as far as # of quadrant one wins
Posted on: March 1, 2018 at 20:52:42 CT
myself MU
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For those who don't know, there's a lot of emphasis this year on "quadrant one" (Q1) wins, which are wins against top 30 RPI teams at home, top 50 RPI teams at a neutral site, and top 70 RPI wins on the road.
Arkansas is projected to finish with an RPI of 31, which means we wouldn't gain a Q1 win even if we beat them on Saturday (assuming that projection is correct).
South Carolina was a Q1 win until last week, now they're projected to finish with an RPI of 73, just outside of the Q1 range for road wins.
UCF was a Q1 win until today, now it looks like they will finish just outside the top 70 as well, costing us another Q1 road win.
That means we may only have 4 Q1 wins come Selection Sunday (Tennessee at home, Kentucky at home, A&M at home, Alabama on the road).
I think if we beat Arkansas to finish 10-8, we're in no matter what, but if we lose on Saturday and finish 9-9, having only 4 Q1 wins instead of 5+ could cost us a bid. We might need to win 2+ games in the SEC tourney if we lose on Saturday.