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According to most bracketology models, our chances of

Posted on: March 1, 2018 at 21:30:50 CT
myself MU
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reaching the NCAAT are about 65% right now (on average) with a 9 seed projection. For example, our odds of reaching the tourney are 67% per ESPN/BPI, and 61% per this site:

https://www.teamrankings.com/ncaa-tournament/bracketology/

Our odds of beating Arkansas are 58% according to ESPN/BPI, which sounds about right to me.

In other words, our odds of reaching the NCAAT are only slightly better than our odds of beating Arkansas on Saturday. That's an extremely important game. As I've said, if we lose that game then we'll have to win AT LEAST 1 game, and probably 2. The loss of 2 Q1 wins in the last week doesn't help.
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We could have some bad luck as far as # of quadrant one wins - myself MU - 3/1 20:52:42
     RE: We could have some bad luck as far as # of quadrant one wins - tigerlawdude MU - 3/1 22:07:19
          They defined, very specifically, what they consider to be a - myself MU - 3/1 22:14:14
               RE: They defined, very specifically, what they consider to be a - tigerlawdude MU - 3/1 22:21:18
                    The selection committee will get a stat sheet breaking down - myself MU - 3/1 22:32:44
     give your handles a break - Jeff85 MU - 3/1 21:35:45
          And these idiots keep responding to him - MakeShift MU - 3/1 21:46:13
     we are in even if we go 0-2 (nm) - ZouMiz STL - 3/1 20:54:11
          RE: we are in even if we go 0-2 (nm) - Big Ray 2 USA - 3/1 22:02:17
          This^^^^^(nm) - Shu MU - 3/1 21:29:14
               Nope. Even if we go 1-2 (i.e. lose to Arky and go 1-1 in the - myself MU - 3/1 21:32:52
                    nope(nm) - tigerNkc MU - 3/1 21:34:27
                         RE: nope(nm) - Big Ray 2 USA - 3/1 22:06:59
                              jesus. you really think its all about wins? Of all the - tigerNkc MU - 3/1 22:31:01
                                   RE: jesus. you really think its all about wins? Of all the - Big Ray 2 USA - 3/1 23:56:20
                                   Our RPI is 40 now. If we lose at home to Arky, then go - myself MU - 3/1 22:34:29
                                        RE: Our RPI is 40 now. If we lose at home to Arky, then go - Big Ray 2 USA - 3/1 23:48:12
                         You're wrong, but hopefully we don't have to find that - myself MU - 3/1 21:36:18
          Definitely not. As I said in the OP, we've lost two Q1 wins - myself MU - 3/1 20:57:00
               I think you’re overweighting the value of Quad wins - tiger4real MU - 3/1 20:59:57
                    It's the only reason we've been ahead of other teams on the - myself MU - 3/1 21:03:35
                         If we lost last 2, think we’d fall to last 4 in - tiger4real MU - 3/1 21:07:39
                              No. We're a mid-9 seed right now and about to lose another - myself MU - 3/1 21:14:57
                                   hopefully we don’t find out - tiger4real MU - 3/1 21:20:07
                                        According to most bracketology models, our chances of - myself MU - 3/1 21:30:50
                    Just win and don't give them an opportunity to screw you - Mormad MU - 3/1 21:01:04
                         Absolutely. If we beat Arkansas on Saturday, that would put - myself MU - 3/1 21:07:33




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