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Adjusting for opponent

Posted on: January 27, 2025 at 12:37:37 CT
haeffb MU
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is why the ratings don’t depend on SOS.

Beating a bad team by much more than expected is better for your rating than beating a good team by the expected amount.

On the other hand, beating a bad team by less than the expected amount is worse for your rating than losing to a good team by the expected amount.
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MESSAGE THREAD

When rankings begin to matter. Per Parrish/CBS..17 - jumbo73 MU - 1/27 07:09:55
     If we want to be top 15, we gotta - alwaysright MU - 1/27 07:51:31
     Kansas shouldn’t be ranked ahead of Mizzou (nm) - TigerMatt STL - 1/27 07:18:53
          Agreed, Illinois only ranked ahead because of loss - MoGold MU - 1/27 12:53:07
          Our noncon schedule was abysmal, and impacts that(nm) - FIJItiger MU - 1/27 12:27:32
               Our problem is that we play completely terrible teams - quicksand MU - 1/27 18:51:44
                    Why is that a problem? (nm) - haeffb MU - 1/27 19:02:12
               I support a shytty schedule this year coming off the year - Erwin Fletcher STL - 1/27 12:41:34
                    Agree, although I am not currently a season ticket holder - FIJItiger MU - 1/27 13:09:15
                         agreed hard to drive a few hours to watch them play - Erwin Fletcher STL - 1/27 13:41:14
                              Loyola and Drexel instead of Pacific and Miss Valley? - haeffb MU - 1/27 13:47:22
                                   Do a home and home vs. Izzo or someone like that. He will - Erwin Fletcher STL - 1/27 14:58:50
          what about Florida? (nm) - zounami MU - 1/27 07:51:47
               Their last second lucky W vs Carolina is the difference(nm) - oldtgr MU - 1/27 12:02:38
               /We should be close to them - meatiger MU - 1/27 10:46:07
                    Kenpom: Florida #5, Mizzou #29 (nm) - zounami MU - 1/27 10:58:57
                         RE: Kenpom: Florida #5, Mizzou #29 (nm) - meatiger MU - 1/27 11:02:09
                              No. SOS doesn’t matter forKenpom rating - haeffb MU - 1/27 12:18:53
                                   It does though. Every metric is adjusted for opponent - Eggs MU - 1/27 12:28:57
                                        Adjusting for opponent - haeffb MU - 1/27 12:37:37
                                             the problem with that - meatiger MU - 1/27 14:29:48
                                             Right. Makes sense, my bad - Eggs MU - 1/27 12:38:48
                              Yup. The non con between Memphis and Cal games - Eggs MU - 1/27 11:17:20
                                   Our non con SOS rating is 356 out of 364 teams - Eggs MU - 1/27 11:20:33
                                        which is why I think we will get a better seed than predict - meatiger MU - 1/27 11:38:41
                                             Currently 6-4 vs. quad 1 and 2 - Eggs MU - 1/27 11:50:52
                                        Pretty weak, isn't it. I really wish we'd have had more game - GeorgiaTiger76 MU - 1/27 11:24:47
                                             The MWC figured this out and that's why they keep getting - Eggs MU - 1/27 11:54:55
                              plus, a lot of our wins have been close (nm) - zounami MU - 1/27 11:05:11
                                   Wrong. 14 of 16 wins are 3 or more possession games - hou4mu MU - 1/27 11:37:42
                                        True, fewer close games than I thought. As I said, I'm - zounami MU - 1/27 12:03:20
                                             Replace Miss Valley St., Ark Pine Bluff, and Lindenwood - Eggs MU - 1/27 12:23:17
                                                  No (nm) - wu-tangtiger MU - 1/27 12:28:37
                                                       With the same performance, wouldn't it change it? - Eggs MU - 1/27 12:34:26
                                   This isnt true - wu-tangtiger MU - 1/27 11:17:54
                                   lol(nm) - TigerA MU - 1/27 11:12:52
                                   Which is a dumb criteria to use(nm) - meatiger MU - 1/27 11:12:29
     17 is about right at this moment.(nm) - Erwin Fletcher STL - 1/27 07:18:42




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