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Brass tacks
Posted on: July 27, 2024 at 13:30:15 CT
JG MU
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There are only 6 States that are in play.
One of them-Nevada-essentially makes no difference.
There are a couple of possible scenarios where it could make a difference, but that is highly unlikely.
So there are really only 5 States that make any difference to this election. Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Arizona and Georgia. They have a total of 71 electoral votes of which 44 will be needed to win.
Winning the 3 rust belt States of WI, MI and PA will do it. PA is the big prize with 19.
I probably correctly predicted that if the dems dropped Biden they would stupidly pick Harris and it seems they have. Now if she picks Shapiro -she almost certainly takes PA and I believe Michigan will almost automatically follow.
Price from Az would almost certainly bring that State
but don't know if that will help that much in the Rust belt.
GA is almost certainly a blue state now but the trumplicans have redoubled their voter suppression there so that one may be a tough call.
Vance was a terrible pick for the trump and not only does he not add a damn thing, he seems to be a negative pick up. LOL.
If I were a dem OR repub advisor I would spend all of my effort on ground game in those 5 States and virtualy nothing else. But LOL trump thinks he's going to take Minnesota.
I know for the normies among us , we wonder how a single person could consider the evil trump who is openly telling people there will not be elections if he gets in. The hatred of America runs very deep today.
One of them-Nevada-essentially makes no difference.
There are a couple of possible scenarios where it could make a difference, but that is highly unlikely.
So there are really only 5 States that make any difference to this election. Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Arizona and Georgia. They have a total of 71 electoral votes of which 44 will be needed to win.
Winning the 3 rust belt States of WI, MI and PA will do it. PA is the big prize with 19.
I probably correctly predicted that if the dems dropped Biden they would stupidly pick Harris and it seems they have. Now if she picks Shapiro -she almost certainly takes PA and I believe Michigan will almost automatically follow.
Price from Az would almost certainly bring that State
but don't know if that will help that much in the Rust belt.
GA is almost certainly a blue state now but the trumplicans have redoubled their voter suppression there so that one may be a tough call.
Vance was a terrible pick for the trump and not only does he not add a damn thing, he seems to be a negative pick up. LOL.
If I were a dem OR repub advisor I would spend all of my effort on ground game in those 5 States and virtualy nothing else. But LOL trump thinks he's going to take Minnesota.
I know for the normies among us , we wonder how a single person could consider the evil trump who is openly telling people there will not be elections if he gets in. The hatred of America runs very deep today.
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Brass tacks - JG MU - 7/27 13:30:15