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understand that

Posted on: April 6, 2020 at 08:46:38 CT
meatiger MU
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If the disease is fairly infective and there is no vaccine....how does like 60-80% of the population NOT get it eventually?

Have Fauci, Birx, or any of them given any indication of what they think the infectivity was prior? I have not seen.

I see one of two scenarios

1. The spread occurred much earlier..and either the infection rate is much lower or the morbidity/mortality is much lower

2. We still have had somewhat limited spread, and there is much more to come as people travel around again

3. I just don't see a flatten the curve scenario that is being suggested, unless this just can't survive the summer (and there have bene outbreaks in FL and TX which seen to go against that theory).
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MESSAGE THREAD

The Updated Murray Model (the one being principally - ummmm MU - 4/6 07:58:26
     As of yesterday, Kansas had 183 hospitalizations - MIZ45 MU - 4/6 08:42:16
          Here's the issue - Sal MU - 4/6 08:46:51
               Oh yeah, of course. - MIZ45 MU - 4/6 10:08:50
               Here is what I believe is the real issue, almost all of the - DHighlander NWMSU - 4/6 09:24:27
                    Big corps bought up many of the MSM and centralized - JeffB MU - 4/6 09:36:23
               Everyone will use the numbers - meatiger MU - 4/6 09:12:21
     nm - tigerNkc MU - 4/6 08:14:12
     And what happens when everyone goes back to work?(nm) - meatiger MU - 4/6 08:08:34
          Also, the point of these all measures was to "flatten the - ummmm MU - 4/6 08:14:42
               I believe the curve has been delayed - meatiger MU - 4/6 08:26:41
                    lots of ****ing laughs (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 4/6 08:50:16
                         No surprise from you(nm) - meatiger MU - 4/6 09:11:12
                    then what good does that do? (nm) - Sal MU - 4/6 08:28:50
                         what good does what do?(nm) - meatiger MU - 4/6 08:31:51
                              Pushing the spike back a month or two? - Sal MU - 4/6 08:34:31
                                   I am not sure how it will flatten the curve - meatiger MU - 4/6 08:40:09
                                        Most places aren't experiencing any issues with - Sal MU - 4/6 08:41:08
                                   Yes, we were also told that the two possibilities were a big - ummmm MU - 4/6 08:36:51
                                        The University of Minnesota work - meatiger MU - 4/6 08:40:45
                                             Link? I haven't seen or heard of that. (nm) - ummmm MU - 4/6 08:42:38
                                                  RE: Link? I haven't seen or heard of that. (nm) - meatiger MU - 4/6 08:48:58
                                             that goes directly against what Fauci, Birx, etc. - Sal MU - 4/6 08:41:32
                                                  understand that - meatiger MU - 4/6 08:46:38
          They change the model and make it look like armageddon. - ummmm MU - 4/6 08:13:25
          people are no longer unemployed? (nm) - Sal MU - 4/6 08:10:56
          what are you even asking (nm) - pickle MU - 4/6 08:10:08
               What happens when everyone - meatiger MU - 4/6 08:11:20
                    what are you even asking (nm) - pickle MU - 4/6 08:12:41
                         The question seems rather obvious(nm) - meatiger MU - 4/6 08:13:34
                              it seems rather stupid - pickle MU - 4/6 08:14:35
                    they get a paycheck again (nm) - ashtray UF - 4/6 08:12:17
                         And likely the disease spreads more (nm) - meatiger MU - 4/6 08:12:49
                              The spread has already happened (nm) - Sal MU - 4/6 08:15:40
                                   Only antibody testing - meatiger MU - 4/6 08:25:39
                              so they're sick with a paycheck - ashtray UF - 4/6 08:13:42
     So it all starts getting better after 4/20?(nm) - AllThingsKC KC - 4/6 08:01:12
          According to this model which has been overstated every - ummmm MU - 4/6 08:02:12
               Looks like Parson was doing the right thing - Sal MU - 4/6 08:03:43
                    Except Parsons would have allowed missouri - Da_Haze KC - 4/6 08:46:43
                         i hope you’ve stopped calling yourself a libertarian - pickle MU - 4/6 08:56:27
                         MO didn't just magically bump up it's peak date - Sal MU - 4/6 08:53:28
                    thinking about elections (nm) - SwampTiger MU - 4/6 08:06:17
          Alright alright alright(nm) - cnk ATL - 4/6 08:02:11
          cnk knew it (nm) - Sal MU - 4/6 08:01:30
     wait, what happened to 5/18? - Sal MU - 4/6 08:00:02
          Hospitals are getting squeezed: - ummmm MU - 4/6 08:01:32




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