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Much of it is non-response bias

Posted on: November 4, 2016 at 10:29:16 CT
Fat Drunk and Stupid MU
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Hillary was never up by more than 3-5 before the recent Trump surge either.

https://today.yougov.com/news/2016/11/01/beware-phantom-swings-why-dramatic-swings-in-the-p/
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NH is now a tie - Sal KC - 11/4 10:05:54
     I think trump takes NH, maybe maine. - RHAYWORTH MU - 11/4 10:15:55
     While Trump is a toad in my mind it seems millions of people - Fred G. Sanford USA - 11/4 10:14:41
          I can't remember a huge swing in direction - Sal KC - 11/4 10:17:08
               Much of it is non-response bias - Fat Drunk and Stupid MU - 11/4 10:29:16
                    Even if you want to believe that - Sal KC - 11/4 10:35:52
                         it's already starting to move back again - Fat Drunk and Stupid MU - 11/4 10:38:03
                              You said that yesterday with no evidence (nm) - Sal KC - 11/4 10:39:45
                                   No. i cited evidence. - Fat Drunk and Stupid MU - 11/4 10:40:58
     What poll is your "go to"? Mine is 538 - TigerJackSwartz MU - 11/4 10:10:54
          538 massages the raw poll data so their accuracy may - JeffB MU - 11/4 10:17:02
               how about - TigerJackSwartz MU - 11/4 10:18:41
          I was just watching the news - Sal KC - 11/4 10:11:21
               he has the mo ... - tmcats KSU - 11/4 10:13:34




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