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538 massages the raw poll data so their accuracy may

Posted on: November 4, 2016 at 10:17:02 CT

JeffB MU

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be better or worse than others based upon their underlying assumptions and whether their algorithmic adjustments move those numbers closer or further away than the underlying reality.

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NH is now a tie - Sal KC - 11/4 10:05:54

I think trump takes NH, maybe maine. - RHAYWORTH MU - 11/4 10:15:55

While Trump is a toad in my mind it seems millions of people - Fred G. Sanford USA - 11/4 10:14:41

I can't remember a huge swing in direction - Sal KC - 11/4 10:17:08

Much of it is non-response bias - Fat Drunk and Stupid MU

- 11/4 10:29:16

Even if you want to believe that - Sal KC - 11/4 10:35:52

it's already starting to move back again - Fat Drunk and Stupid MU

- 11/4 10:38:03

You said that yesterday with no evidence (nm) - Sal KC - 11/4 10:39:45

No. i cited evidence. - Fat Drunk and Stupid MU

- 11/4 10:40:58

What poll is your "go to"? Mine is 538 - TigerJackSwartz MU

- 11/4 10:10:54

538 massages the raw poll data so their accuracy may - JeffB MU

- 11/4 10:17:02

how about - TigerJackSwartz MU

- 11/4 10:18:41

I was just watching the news - Sal KC - 11/4 10:11:21

he has the mo ... - tmcats KSU - 11/4 10:13:34