Welcome Guest
Sign In | Register

I'll likely hear

Posted on: October 25, 2016 at 09:56:12 CT
DC Jayhawk KU
Posts:
7803
Member For:
17.46 yrs
Level:
User
M.O.B. Votes:
0
that they oversample party X! They undersample party Y!

One, oversampling is totally valid when trying to get the opinions of smaller populations (like, stay-at-home-moms between 25-45) where you're trying to measure a group. However, you can control for that in the overall population. Two, Polls that consistently demonstrate inaccuracies aren't going to be taken seriously over time and will be discounted.

In the end, I believe that you'll find many of the polls given an "A" rating by 538 to be withing 2 pts of the actual voting results.
Report Message

Please explain why this message is being reported.

REPLY

Handle:
Password:
Subject:

MESSAGE THREAD

The latest electoral map... - JeffB MU - 10/25 09:02:59
     The problem is you have Penn flipped. Trump hasn't - tigerman81 MU - 10/25 10:56:40
     Any idiot can make their own electoral map - MrBlueSky MU - 10/25 09:22:00
          Yes, like Real Muddied Politics and the ones - Diamond Dave MU - 10/25 09:22:55
               RCP cherry picks polls alot! For example including - tigerman81 MU - 10/25 10:58:09
               They at least use all the data available. Not just cherry - MrBlueSky MU - 10/25 09:24:35
                    I'm not sure that's accurate - Sal KC - 10/25 09:27:33
                         Some places put more weight on some polls over - MrBlueSky MU - 10/25 09:33:26
                         538 is far more reliable. - mizzou alum 93 MU - 10/25 09:33:17
                              Funny, but I've never been contacted to do a poll - Diamond Dave MU - 10/25 09:35:31
                                   I've been contacted before - DC Jayhawk KU - 10/25 09:48:47
                                        'They're not slanted like people think.' Then why the Democr - JeffB MU - 10/25 10:44:37
                                             i'm pretty sure you're referring to Podesta - DC Jayhawk KU - 10/25 12:01:33
                                        and they are just as likely to be slanted towards the - mizzou alum 93 MU - 10/25 09:51:23
                                             indeed. - DC Jayhawk KU - 10/25 09:59:45
                                        Not slanted? Good luck convincing these schmucks that (nm) - MrBlueSky MU - 10/25 09:50:44
                                             I'll likely hear - DC Jayhawk KU - 10/25 09:56:12
                                                  Right. If you look at sources compiled by actual - MrBlueSky MU - 10/25 09:57:59
                                   neither have I. - mizzou alum 93 MU - 10/25 09:37:04
                                        I am still deciding who gets my vote and it's certainly not - Diamond Dave MU - 10/25 09:42:03
                                   Take off the foil hat (nm) - MrBlueSky MU - 10/25 09:36:24
                                        I'm not a conspiracy guy. It's just common sense - Diamond Dave MU - 10/25 09:38:26
                              Beat me to it (nm) - MrBlueSky MU - 10/25 09:34:34
                    Meh. The data is skewed. No one has a fvcking clue - Diamond Dave MU - 10/25 09:26:28
                         Was the data skewed in 2008 and 2012? The same outlets - MrBlueSky MU - 10/25 09:27:39
                              Irrelevant, but if you really want Cankles - Diamond Dave MU - 10/25 09:33:58
                                   How does the president directly impact your daily life? (nm) - MrBlueSky MU - 10/25 09:34:24
                                        Oh for me it's simply a matter of not wanting to see her - Diamond Dave MU - 10/25 09:37:29
                                        The president has a massive impact upon our society, and - JeffB MU - 10/25 09:36:48
                              There was most certainly voting fraud in 2008 & 2012. - JeffB MU - 10/25 09:30:29
                                   To be fair, I saw those numbers, but they were dense urban - TigerMatt MU - 10/25 09:39:25
                                   Jesus dude (nm) - MrBlueSky MU - 10/25 09:30:54
     PA to Trump? - DC Jayhawk KU - 10/25 09:19:14
          It's not. He's trying really hard (nm) - MrBlueSky MU - 10/25 09:20:57
     RE: The latest electoral map... - mizzou alum 93 MU - 10/25 09:07:35
     Gotta love that confidence(nm) - raskolnikov MU - 10/25 09:06:37
          and conference. SEC! ! ! (nm) - JeffB MU - 10/25 09:09:54




©2025 Fanboards L.L.C. — Our Privacy Policy   About Tigerboard