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This is the one that really matters

Posted on: August 22, 2016 at 10:28:50 CT
Webbster MU
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http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-national-polls-show-the-race-tightening-but-state-polls-dont/

Real Clear Politics national polling average:

(8/8): Clinton by 7 percent

(8/15): Clinton by 6.8 percent

(8/22): Clinton by 5.5 percent

Real Clear electoral votes:

(8/8): Clinton 246, Trump 154

(8/15): Clinton 256, Trump 154

(8/22): Clinton 272, Trump 154

Real Clear no toss up:

(8/8): Clinton 346, Trump 192

(8/15): Clinton 362, Trump 176

(8/22): Clinton 362, Trump 176

FiveThirtyEight Probability:

(8/8): 83.4 percent chance of a Clinton victory

(8/15): 89.2 percent chance of a Clinton victory

(8/22): 84.7 percent chance of a Clinton victory



Edited by Webbster at 10:55:17 on 08/22/16
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LA Times poll has Trump ahead of Clinton - Spanky KU - 8/22 09:05:27
     Their poll is ultra bizarre - Roberts MU - 8/22 11:01:34
          they poll 400 people daily from the same group of - mizzou alum 93 MU - 8/22 11:25:02
               Yeah, that's bizarre - Roberts MU - 8/22 12:27:49
     This is the one that really matters - Webbster MU - 8/22 10:28:50
     The debates will tell the tale for Trump. - Evenflow MU - 8/22 09:09:01
          She'll just stand up there and boldly tell lie after lie... - Salty Dog MU - 8/22 09:13:27
               Maybe. But she'll need to be more subtle wo candy crowley - hokie VT - 8/22 10:48:34
               "I will make the rich pay their fare share" - and it's - 90Tiger MU - 8/22 10:21:31
               More to the point - mods will let her, as usual. - GA Tiger MU - 8/22 09:23:33
                    mods will 'trick question' don to death ... - tmcats KSU - 8/22 09:54:20
                         If he's sharp he can counter. So..???(nm) - GA Tiger MU - 8/22 11:05:06
          I think he'll be too giddy - Sal KC - 8/22 09:11:39
     Early registration in key states has GOP - Sal KC - 8/22 09:09:01
          If the clown can somehow convince blacks and hispanics - hefeweizen MU - 8/22 09:21:46
               I read an article stating Trump made the most racist speech - Sal KC - 8/22 09:24:05
                    Elitist whites say that but trust me, deep down blacks - hefeweizen MU - 8/22 09:26:05
                         Very true - Sal KC - 8/22 09:27:05
                              It is hilarious how bad libs hate Sheriff Clark. He is their - hefeweizen MU - 8/22 09:28:48
                                   They have to demonize him and any other black leaders - JeffB MU - 8/22 09:44:10
                                        I can't believe they've turned on Powell - Sal KC - 8/22 09:44:54
                                             He was a useful tool, and now he isn't................... - Bulldog Bob Brown STL - 8/22 10:06:19
                                   A black man talking about black problems - Sal KC - 8/22 09:29:52
          Yep, they are in for a surprise but you can't count - Butcher of Bakersfield STL - 8/22 09:15:28
               thank god the GOP has the Russians working for them (nm) - Sal KC - 8/22 09:16:44
                    and pantless cops(nm) - Butcher of Bakersfield STL - 8/22 09:31:15
     RE: LA Times poll has Trump ahead of Clinton - mizzou alum 93 MU - 8/22 09:07:20
          It seems to me that a better model would be to just take a - JeffB MU - 8/22 09:34:12
               You don't want a - markymarksthirdnipple STL - 8/22 10:13:24
                    So do you think the LA Times polling methodology would - JeffB MU - 8/22 11:02:09
                    If you used quote marks in the subject line, everything - JeffB MU - 8/22 10:53:46




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