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An inverted yield curve
Posted on: November 7, 2024 at 05:03:19 CT
haeffb MU
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has been a consistent indicator of coming recession since the 1980’s.
The recession typically begins shortly after the 10-year yield minus 3-month yield returns to positive territory.
Keep an eye on Treasury rates over the next few months.
To make this political, Trump won’t cause the recession, but he will be blamed for it.
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10Y3M
The recession typically begins shortly after the 10-year yield minus 3-month yield returns to positive territory.
Keep an eye on Treasury rates over the next few months.
To make this political, Trump won’t cause the recession, but he will be blamed for it.
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10Y3M
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An inverted yield curve - haeffb MU - 11/7 05:03:19