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Last time I looked at Biden's leads in the polls and
Posted on: November 4, 2024 at 11:28:09 CT
4TigersinMichigan MU
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attributed it to media bias. I looked at crowds and thought Biden's team was not motivated. I expected Trump's undervote to be 6 points.
This time, Trump leads in many of the national polls aready, and is within 1-2 of those he does not. Same with battleground states. Early voting shows a much more motivated GOP base this time. Even 2 points of undervote is huge. And, Trump will certainly do far better with black men, Hispanics, and Jews than he did in 2020.
In WI, they are at 705 of the early vote last time, and this time is nearly 50/50 for the parties. And Dane and Milwaukee Counties, where dems must do well, are way down.
I think this is Trump's race.
This time, Trump leads in many of the national polls aready, and is within 1-2 of those he does not. Same with battleground states. Early voting shows a much more motivated GOP base this time. Even 2 points of undervote is huge. And, Trump will certainly do far better with black men, Hispanics, and Jews than he did in 2020.
In WI, they are at 705 of the early vote last time, and this time is nearly 50/50 for the parties. And Dane and Milwaukee Counties, where dems must do well, are way down.
I think this is Trump's race.
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Last time I looked at Biden's leads in the polls and - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 11/4 11:28:09