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Accurate polling is impossible, the whole industry is a joke

Posted on: November 3, 2024 at 19:25:11 CT
Macgrantt MU
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You'd have to have true randomization in your demographics, and everyone asked to respond did. Neither happens. Would you tell a stranger who calls how you're going to vote? No, what kind of person does? Another confounding.

Some pay their "subjects" and that's another massive confounding. What kind of person does that?

Edited by Macgrantt at 19:33:39 on 11/03/24
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MESSAGE THREAD

Nate Silver: Pollsters Are Rigging their Numbers - BH O'bonga MU - 11/3 18:51:17
     Accurate polling is impossible, the whole industry is a joke - Macgrantt MU - 11/3 19:25:11
     Ann Selzer who runs best best poll in Iowa - raskolnikov MU - 11/3 19:12:01
          You is dumb. The poll she did for Des Moines Register is - Spanky KU - 11/3 19:25:54
               Take a look at this - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 11/3 20:32:11
               he had never heard of her before that poll (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 11/3 19:30:11
                    He is very dumb(nm) - Spanky KU - 11/3 20:32:37
          Ann Selzer ... lol (nm) - Fourth and Long MU - 11/3 19:19:23
          Even great pollsters have an occasional outlier - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 11/3 19:17:25
               RE: Even great pollsters have an occasional outlier - *M* KC - 11/3 19:57:53
                    It is showing in no other Iowa polling - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 11/3 20:19:38
                         RE: It is showing in no other Iowa polling - *M* KC - 11/3 20:26:17
                              Yes. Emerson has it Trump +10 - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 11/3 20:28:30
          can you ever stop cheering and read anything? (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 11/3 19:15:09
     more evidence that pollsters are manipulators and - 90Tiger STL - 11/3 19:06:44
          I think the "betting markets" are being gamed/manipulated... - zounami MU - 11/3 19:26:17
          RE: more evidence that pollsters are manipulators and - BH O'bonga MU - 11/3 19:13:42
               never does (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 11/3 19:14:40




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