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The SEC win prediction seems harsh…
Posted on: October 30, 2024 at 15:21:21 CT
bluetiger_ MU
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I’m waiting to see the impact of the new players, particularly Wilson and Randle, and see if Kroenke can stay healthy and can be impactful after not playing last year. Once those questions are answered SEC predictions may be easier.
But right now, on paper, I agree it’s tough to see where the SEC wins are going to come from.
We play 12/16 games against the 11 teams projected to make the NCAA tournament (we play a top 20 Oklahoma team twice). A reasonable person would say we are going to be underdogs in those 12 games, huge underdogs in many of them.
That leaves only 4 more winnable conference games: Florida, TAMU, Georgia and Arkansas. Florida and TAMU are listed in the last 4 teams out group in preseason bracketology, so those would presumably be tougher than Georgia and Arkansas. Problem is, we play 3 of these 4 teams on the road; we only get Florida at home.
So right now, on paper, you thinking we are unlikely to get to 3 SEC wins isn’t unreasonable.
Of course, predictions and polls and bracketology in preseason are subject to change, sometimes significant change. Of course teams like SC, Texas, LSU and Oklahoma are going to be way better than us. But is that next tier of Ole Miss, Kentucky and Alabama really top 25 teams or not. And the next tier after that, Auburn, Miss St, Vandy, Tennessee, are they really tournament quality? All are projected in the 8-10 seed range in preseason, which is kind of iffy.
The SEC is a great conference, very strong at the top, good depth and quality through at least 9-10 teams, maybe more. But something tells me we aren’t getting 11 teams in the tourney this year. 8-9? Almost certainly. But 10-11 may be pushing it.
But right now, on paper, I agree it’s tough to see where the SEC wins are going to come from.
We play 12/16 games against the 11 teams projected to make the NCAA tournament (we play a top 20 Oklahoma team twice). A reasonable person would say we are going to be underdogs in those 12 games, huge underdogs in many of them.
That leaves only 4 more winnable conference games: Florida, TAMU, Georgia and Arkansas. Florida and TAMU are listed in the last 4 teams out group in preseason bracketology, so those would presumably be tougher than Georgia and Arkansas. Problem is, we play 3 of these 4 teams on the road; we only get Florida at home.
So right now, on paper, you thinking we are unlikely to get to 3 SEC wins isn’t unreasonable.
Of course, predictions and polls and bracketology in preseason are subject to change, sometimes significant change. Of course teams like SC, Texas, LSU and Oklahoma are going to be way better than us. But is that next tier of Ole Miss, Kentucky and Alabama really top 25 teams or not. And the next tier after that, Auburn, Miss St, Vandy, Tennessee, are they really tournament quality? All are projected in the 8-10 seed range in preseason, which is kind of iffy.
The SEC is a great conference, very strong at the top, good depth and quality through at least 9-10 teams, maybe more. But something tells me we aren’t getting 11 teams in the tourney this year. 8-9? Almost certainly. But 10-11 may be pushing it.
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The SEC win prediction seems harsh… - bluetiger_ MU - 10/30 15:21:21
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