He thinks Kamala will win because he does not believe the Trump supporters' hearts are "in it" as much this time. I don't think that is correct at all. In fact, I think the Trump intensity is higher than I have ever seen it. I believe he is misreading the left's lack of enthusiasm and passion for Kamala (understandable as she is a terrible candidate), and he is literally projecting that on Trump supporters. Since the left cannot be excited about Kamala, he senses all enthusiasm is down. I don't think he is being disingenuous but is rather blind to what is occurring.
https://x.com/CollinRugg/status/1845809814519038432