A bit earlier in the year Wisconsin & Michigan were slight
Posted on: October 7, 2024 at 13:18:30 CT
JeffB
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blue, Pennsylvania too if I remember correctly, and Arizona, Georgia & North Carolina were swing states.
Later Pennsylvania became a swing state.
Now Wisconsin & Michigan have become swing states, albeit with a slight lean to Kamala, and Arizona, Georgia & North Carolina are all slight red.
Nevada is a light outlier in this shift. It had been a swing state, but with a slight lead for Trump, but is now a swing state with a slight lean to Kamala.
Nevada was not considered a state that would have an impact on the final election, however, as it only has 6 electoral votes. Pennsylvania, with its 19 EVs was considered the key to victory. It was close enough that it was most likely to be the state that flipped the election to Trump or to Kamala.