 |
|
RE: Most accurate pollster in 2020 and 2022 has Trump +3
Posted on: September 15, 2024 at 08:47:51 CT
JayHoaxH8r MU
Posts:
70185
Member For:
25.24 yrs
Level:
User
M.O.B. Votes:
0
New polling post-debate from ABC News and Ipsos finds Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump among likely voters, with the margin in the race unchanged from ABC News polling conducted in late August.
Overall, 52% of likely voters back Harris, 46% Trump in the poll, the same margin the pollsters found among likely voters in an August 23 through 27 poll.
Among likely voters, Harris holds an edge among independent likely voters (53% to 44%).
Women who are likely to vote break for Harris 55% to 44%, while men likely voters split evenly, 49% for each.
The survey suggests Harris holds a wide advantage among likely voters younger than 30, 59% back her compared with 40% for Trump, including a 38-point advantage among younger women in that group (68% Harris to 30% Trump) even though men in that same category split almost evenly, 51% Harris to 48% Trump.
Among adults, the survey suggests little change in the dynamic between the candidates on the campaign’s central issues. Trump continues to be more widely trusted to handle the economy (46% Trump to 39% Harris) and immigration (47% Trump to 37% Harris), while Harris is broadly more trusted on abortion (48% Harris to 34% Trump) and protecting American democracy (45% Harris to 38% Trump).
The ABC News poll was conducted online Sept. 11-13 among a random national sample of 3,276 adults and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2 points. For results among the 2,196 likely voters, the error margin is plus or minus 2 points.
Overall, 52% of likely voters back Harris, 46% Trump in the poll, the same margin the pollsters found among likely voters in an August 23 through 27 poll.
Among likely voters, Harris holds an edge among independent likely voters (53% to 44%).
Women who are likely to vote break for Harris 55% to 44%, while men likely voters split evenly, 49% for each.
The survey suggests Harris holds a wide advantage among likely voters younger than 30, 59% back her compared with 40% for Trump, including a 38-point advantage among younger women in that group (68% Harris to 30% Trump) even though men in that same category split almost evenly, 51% Harris to 48% Trump.
Among adults, the survey suggests little change in the dynamic between the candidates on the campaign’s central issues. Trump continues to be more widely trusted to handle the economy (46% Trump to 39% Harris) and immigration (47% Trump to 37% Harris), while Harris is broadly more trusted on abortion (48% Harris to 34% Trump) and protecting American democracy (45% Harris to 38% Trump).
The ABC News poll was conducted online Sept. 11-13 among a random national sample of 3,276 adults and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2 points. For results among the 2,196 likely voters, the error margin is plus or minus 2 points.
Please explain why this message is being reported.
MESSAGE THREAD
RE: Most accurate pollster in 2020 and 2022 has Trump +3 - JayHoaxH8r MU - 9/15 08:47:51