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Predict it has Kamala winning as calculated on a state by

Posted on: August 14, 2024 at 14:28:19 CT
JeffB MU
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state basis & adding up the electoral votes. This is using bettor's bets as a barometer & I'm including swing states even if the bets go with 51% for one candidate & 49% for the other.

I switched the colors from the recent tradition as red more accurately depicts the commie party in my opinion, and the 'conservatives' should be in true blue.

https://polymarket.com/elections


Electoral State        % Trump	% Kamala	Total Evs
votes
 3       Washington DC     1     99
54       California        2     98		
19       Illinois          2     98		
 3       Delaware          3     97		
 4       Hawaii            3     97		
 1       Maine Dist 1      3     97		
10       Maryland          3     97		
28       New York          3     97		
 8       Oregon            3     97		
 3       Vermont           3     97		
12       Washington        3     97		
11       Massachusetts     3     97
 7       Connecticut       4     96		
 4       Rhode Island      4     96		
10       Colorado          5     95		
10       Minnesota         6     94		
14       New Jersey        6     94		
 5       New Mexico        9     91		
 2       Maine            12     88		
13       Virginia         12     88		
 1       Nebraska Dist 2  16     84		
 4       New Hampshire    16     84		
15       Michigan         34     66		
10       Wisconsin        41     59		
19       Pennsylvania     44     56		
 6       Nevada           48     52    276 Kamala Electoral Votes total estimate as of 8-14-24
11       Arizona          51     49		
16       Georgia          54     46		
16       North Carolina   62     38		
 1       Maine Dist 2     78     22		
30       Florida          83     17		
17       Ohio             86     14		
40       Texas            88     12		
 6       Iowa             92      8		
 3       Alaska           92      8		
 9       South Carolina   96      4		
 6       Arkansas         97      3		
11       Indiana          97      3		
 6       Kansas           97      3		
 8       Kentucky         97      3		
 8       Louisiana        97      3				
 6       Mississippi      97      3		
 4       Montana          97      3		
 2       Nebraska         97      3		
 7       Oklahoma         97      3		
11       Tennessee        97      3		
 6       Utah             97      3		
 9       Alabama          98      2		
10       Missouri         98      2		
 1       Nebraska Dist 1  98      2		
 1       Nebraska Dist 3  98      2		
 3       North Dakota     98      2		
 3       South Dakota     98      2		
 4       West Virginia    98      2		
 4       Idaho            99      1		
 3       Wyoming          99      1    262  Trump Electoral Votes total estimated as of 8-14-24


Edited by JeffB at 15:00:32 on 08/14/24
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Predict it has Kamala winning as calculated on a state by - JeffB MU - 8/14 14:28:19
     Pretty much down to PA and MI deciding it, nm - MU-TULSA MU - 8/14 16:32:04
          Or Wisconsin. If Trump takes any of those 3, along with the - JeffB MU - 8/14 17:40:06
     Mass will not be going for the trump - JG MU - 8/14 14:45:09
          Is this you being the toughest on dems again?(nm) - Th8tnTiger MU - 8/14 15:18:42
               LOL are there any of you delusionals - JG MU - 8/14 15:24:58
                    That has nothing to do with your stupid claim that you're - MIZ45 MU - 8/14 15:48:25
                    That's beside the point and you're obviously lying again - Th8tnTiger MU - 8/14 15:45:51
                         the point was beside the point! - JG MU - 8/14 15:47:09
                              No the point is you can't stop lying(nm) - Th8tnTiger MU - 8/14 15:53:09
                                   your "point" has no reality whatsoever - JG MU - 8/14 16:10:22
                                        Weren't you voted unanimously the boards biggest liar? - Th8tnTiger MU - 8/14 16:12:14
                                             Every single one of the few who voted - JG MU - 8/14 16:15:22
                                                  The poll was open to anyone on the board - MIZ45 MU - 8/14 16:18:32
                    Then why did you post "what are the Ds doing that's - Reagan STL - 8/14 15:43:24
                         to see if any of you partisan hacks could give an answer - JG MU - 8/14 15:47:52
                              Your Dems just gave the finger to democracy by anointing - MIZ45 MU - 8/14 15:54:49
          You are right. My bad. PredictIt would then give Kamala - JeffB MU - 8/14 14:52:51
               the way it lines up is that IF WI , MI and PA - JG MU - 8/14 15:03:23
                    Not IF those bettor's odds are pretty close to accurate. - JeffB MU - 8/14 15:20:32
                         iIf either the dems or the repubs win those 3 States - JG MU - 8/14 15:39:49
                              no JG. Pubs can win with 1 of MI/PA/WI, Dems need - 90Tiger STL - 8/14 18:34:48
                              IF all of the others go as the bettors predict, PA alone - JeffB MU - 8/14 15:44:03
               If those odds are fairly close to accurate, it looks like - JeffB MU - 8/14 15:02:36
          MUH KAMALA - GODZILLA MU - 8/14 14:50:32
          lol NOT MUH DEMS!!! (nm) - Sal CMSU - 8/14 14:46:33
               You guys do hate facts - JG MU - 8/14 14:47:34
                    Your post had zero facts in it - Sal CMSU - 8/14 14:53:44
                         I do follow the facts, which we can all agree never align - JG MU - 8/14 14:56:20
                              No you don't. You just follow the dem talking points, you - MIZ45 MU - 8/14 15:26:02
                              JG with another fact free post. - Reagan STL - 8/14 15:08:22




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