I posted this several months ago. The problem with the PAC
Posted on: June 30, 2022 at 18:42:34 CT
Ozland Tiger LSU
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12 expanding is to 16 teams is there is only one team west they can add and this is Hawaii.
Looking east pickings are slim. There are no marquee teams available. There is Boise State, San Diego State, BYU and Nevada. If they were valuable in today’s market place they would have already been added.
Then there is the left behind VIII.
The problem we as fans and university presidents have is we don’t know the end game or what it will look like. By that is this expansion (in the traditional sense) or is this contraction where college football is being morphed into something entirely different?
This is why this realignment discussion is so maddening.
While I admit I might be wrong in this assessment the SEC by adding Texas and Oklahoma the seismic shifts that resulted are so massive that there is no adequate response from the other conferences. The so called alliance is testament to how massive this shift is.
I believe this might be consolidation in to an NFL model.
Because of the uncertainty,
The collective response of the so called alliance is hold serve while they continue to access the fallout.
My instinct tells me we are going to be witness to 3/4 of the other conferences moving involuntarily into completely
Unchartered territory because the old constructs that held college football together are changing.
ESPN’s deal with the SEC with anticipated pay outs of 80 million dollars per school is so staggering every one will be left behind in varying degrees. What ever is left of the left behind VIII whether reconstituted or absorbed somewhere else doesn’t change this simple equation. The ACC and PAC 12 are vulnerable as well whether they add or do not add additional teams to their portfolio’s. Every year that goes by the additional financial disparity between the SEC and everyone else is increased. This will be the change agent.
While the alliance is trying to hold everyone together by trying to look more attractive to media execs by having more intersectional football the SEC holds the winning hand. It is just a question of time to see what program in the three remaining conferences jumps ship.
Texas and Oklahoma could have joined any of the three remaining conferences or gone independent. They did not. It is that rationale that is the most telling.
Edited by Ozland Tiger at 14:32:14 on 08/25/21
Post script: Ten months later I still see the inexorable march to 64 teams. 4 super conferences but using an NFL model albeit not the names we are used to seeing in the conferences. The rest of college football being delegated to 'USFL' status.
There is now a good argument for two opposing leagues (AFL vs NFL) type scenario but I am convinced it will consist of only 64 teams. It is with the exception of a few readily apparent which are the lucky 64.