RE: What were his priors?
Posted on: December 8, 2020 at 19:04:35 CT
BH O'bonga MU
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According to Dr. Cicchetti,
"his calculations show the probability of Joe Biden winning the popular vote in the four states independently given President Trump’s early lead in those States as of 3 a.m. on November 4, 2020, is less than one in a quadrillion."
"Dr. Cicchetti’s analysis calculates that for Joe Biden to win all four states collectively, the odds of that event happening decrease to less than one in a quadrillion to the fourth power (1 in 1 in 1,000,000,000,000,0004)."