Current Map: Trump 260, Biden 203

Posted on: October 31, 2020 at 09:39:40 CT

https://www.270towin.com/maps/g1b7A

Trump has locked up Florida and Texas.

7 states remain
Pennsylvania
Michigan
Wisconsin
Minnesota
Colorado
Nevada
New Hampshire

In 2016, Trump won
Pennsylvania
Michigan
Wisconsin

In 2016, Trump lost
Minnesota
Colorado
Nevada
New Hampshire

Colorado is the state Trump has the least likely of winning out of these 7. It went +5 for Hillary - the largest margin of the remaining states. All the others were within 2.5 points either way.

Trump only has to win
Minnesota and he is re-elected

or Wisconsin and he is re-elected

or Michigan and he is re-elected

or Pennsylvania and he is re-elected

or any combination of any two states and he is re-elected


Poor Biden has to basically sweep.

His only path is if Trump only wins 1 more state, and that state has to be either Nevada, or Colorado or New Hampshire.

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This is a conservative estimate too

This doesn't take into account the backlash Democrats probably face over nightly rioting, looting and violence, as well as putting their citizens under COVid house arrest and shutting down businesses and killing people's livlihoods. That's created an opportunity where a surprise state, or many surprise states happen to be in play that never would have been otherwise.

Washington state
Portland
New York
Virginia

The monster vote is a very real possibility.