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Playing with the polling numbers...

Posted on: October 12, 2020 at 06:56:11 CT
AllThingsKC KC
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Trump has 80% to 90% approval in the GOP, depending on the poll.
(Link to poll showing 87%: https://thehill.com/hilltv/rising/476978-trump-support-among-republicans-reaches-all-time-high-in-poll)

Assuming he holds at least 80% of the GOP vote, what percentage of the Democrat vote does he need to win?

Latinos:
As much as 45% of support Trump (https://www.nbcnews.com/think/opinion/trump-has-latino-voter-support-s-strong-ever-why-haven-ncna1240168)

LGBTQIA+:
As much as 45% of gay men support Trump
(https://www.nbcnews.com/feature/nbc-out/trump-applauds-poll-showing-45-percent-support-among-gay-men-n1240633)

Blacks:
As much as 24% of African-Americans support Trump. While low, GOP usually has single-digit support among black voters.
(https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2020/aug/31/trumps-approval-rating-black-voters-soars-60-durin/)

Unions:
As much as 47% of Unions supporting Trump. Probably because: JOBS!
(https://www.politico.com/news/2020/09/22/donald-trump-union-support-snub-joe-biden-418329)

Seems like Trump is keeping the bulk of his base, and possibly really diving into traditional Democrat voters.
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Playing with the polling numbers... - AllThingsKC KC - 10/12 06:56:11
     Biden is a distant long shot. The media is propping up his - BH O'bonga MU - 10/12 07:54:39
     lol - pickle MU - 10/12 07:32:59
          Do you understand at all how polling works? - DHighlander NWMSU - 10/12 08:11:56
               Do you understand that 45% of 1,200 people - pickle MU - 10/12 08:20:56
                    If that were true then you would know that if done correctly - DHighlander NWMSU - 10/12 08:34:44
                         “the science is tested and true” - pickle MU - 10/12 08:43:30
                              Your belief in something does not determine the validity - DHighlander NWMSU - 10/12 09:09:45
                                   It’s qualitative, DH (nm) - pickle MU - 10/12 09:59:55
          polls depend on sampling the population (nm) - zounami MU - 10/12 07:37:47
               Think. is it 45% of latinos - pickle MU - 10/12 07:46:36
                    polls depend on sampling subsets of the population (nm) - zounami MU - 10/12 07:52:50
     Funny the poll on gay folks - "got world-wide response" - raskolnikov MU - 10/12 07:24:36
          You libtard whackos say the world hates Trump and we have - TigerFan92 STL - 10/12 07:49:26
     If true it would be an epic landslide(nm) - TigerFan92 STL - 10/12 07:10:08
     RE: Playing with the polling numbers: Recent Gallop poll - BH O'bonga MU - 10/12 07:05:47




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