real bets, not that pussy "who's gunna win the election" ****.
We're betting on Over/Under on Covid deaths by Jan 1. The real kicker will be, if you aren't a pussy, you get to be on the side of Science⢠and I will be a science denier, so it should be an easy money maker for you.
We will be betting on Covid deaths based on the IMHE projections (Science!). The options will be to bet on each particular component, or there's a parlay option. The O/Us will be based off the IMHE models as of today.
https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america?view=total-deaths&tab=trend
Each betting line will be $1000. If you choose the parlay option, you will receive from me $1000 for every over you hit, but if none of them hit, I get $8,000 --- that means you can win up to $12,000 if all of them go over, and you are still guaranteed $1000 if just one of them hit
Here are the O/Us
United states: IMHE projection (9/11/20): 410,451
O/U: 400,000
Alabama: IMHE projection: 6,174
O/U: 6,000
California: IMHE projection: 49,602
O/U: 48,000 (This is a value play, folks!)
Florida: IMHE projection: 26,251
O/U: 26,000
Missouri: IMHE projection: 5,933
O/U: 6,200. Yes, this is over the IMHE projection, but I'm afraid the murder rate in KC/STL will push the numbers much higher.
North Carolina: IMHE projection: 11,177
O/U: 11,000
Oregon: IMHE projection: 3,457
O/U: 3,400
South Dakota (SUPER SPREADER CENTRAL!!!!): IMHE projection 516
O/U: 500
Tennessee: IMHE projection: 7,108
O/U: 7000
Texas: IMHE projection: 34,319
O/U: 34,000
Washington: IMHE projection: 5,400
O/U: 5,400 (no discounts, sorry)
Bonus! SWEDEN!!!!!!!: IMHE projection 12,817
O/U: 11,000 (Whoah, what a deal!!!!)
Again, you get to be on the side of Scienceā¢, and even with that, the O/Us are under the projection (and if you look at the website, that's just the median, it could be A LOT HIGHER!!!!).
So, if you aren't a pussy, TBIM me what bets you want to take (individual states or the parlay). We'll figure out the escrow/ IAM's lockbox details later. I only accept cash, no accolades, and half the money will need to be deposited prior to initiation (So sell those baseball cards, kids).
If you're interested in betting, but aren't rich like all of us other guys on TB, you can also choose to do the $100/bet option. (Parlay will be $800 if you lose)
Deadline to reply is 12:00 CST on 9/15.