Dems are doomed if that's true.
Posted on: August 12, 2020 at 09:56:11 CT
RHAYWORTH MU
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I doubt biden gets the african american vote energized, so let's say they turn out at 12%.
Trump ends up with 4.56, biden gets 7.44. ends up a 2.88 lead for dems.
In contrast, Obama won by getting 95% of the black vote, higher turnout each election. 13% turnout, Obama got 12.35. That was an 11.7 lead. O won 51% to 47%.
Obama essentially by only getting 44.4% of the remaining votes.
Biden, will need to get 49.5% or more to win.
I don't think senile biden, harris can do that.
Trump should be able to get 53% of the remaining votes.