I won't agree with that.
Posted on: July 13, 2020 at 14:52:37 CT
DC Jayhawk KU
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Many polls were inside the margin of error that occurred on election day.
People who said that Hillary had a 90% of winning ignored MOE, and the tendency of red states to continue to vote red, particularly NC and GA. Only fools thought TX would be even remotely in play.
When polls are conducted using sound methods, they can be very accurate, but I've never been a fan of RCP because they tend to just average polls together without any other consideration. I don't consider them to be the signal, just noise.