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Posted on: June 19, 2020 at 10:55:02 CT

"To begin, I analyzed vote choice for each “potential base,” analyzing only validated voters (those that the CCES matched to the voter file as having voted in 2016). As a baseline, 40 percent of whites voted for Clinton, 54 percent for Trump and the rest for someone else. In this analysis, white evangelicals immediately stand out. Nearly four in five white evangelical voters voted for Trump, with net support of +61. No other group comes close to that level of net support, with white rural voters having net support of +32. Thirty-four percent of non-college white voters voted for Clinton and 60 percent voted for Trump. Among over 50s, 37 percent voted for Clinton and 60 percent for Trump. Among white male voters, 37 percent voted for Clinton and 56 percent voted for Trump.